UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway
Barueri, Brazil
20 Dec 2014
Light Heavyweight
VS
76%
Lima
24%
Pokrajac
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lima
Lima is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lima has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lima's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pokrajac has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lima
Pokrajac
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
74"
40+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lima
Pokrajac
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.3
14.6
53.8
Performance Avg
43.2
49
Quality of Victory
50
59
Momentum Score
33
Lima
Pokrajac
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.0
60%
Strike Accuracy
50%
6.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
3
2
Body
0
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance3
8Clinch0
2Ground0
Lima
Pokrajac
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lima
Pokrajac
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
14
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/32 fights
Chin rating based on
13/41 fights
Lima
Pokrajac
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
33
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Lima
Pokrajac
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
75%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lima
Pokrajac
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
LimaPokrajac
Strike Zones
Lima
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedPokrajac
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lima targets the head (50% of attacks) — Pokrajac absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Pokrajac targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lima
RND
Pokrajac
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lima · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Pokrajac · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Lima · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Junior TafaRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Derrick LewisRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
W · Sub · R1
Andrei ArlovskiRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Blagoy IvanovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
Pokrajac · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04
L · KO · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
L · KO · R1
Rafael CavalcanteRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11
L · Dec · R3
Ryan JimmoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
Upcoming
Joey BeltranUFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12