METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway
Barueri, Brazil
20 Dec 2014
Light Heavyweight
VS
73%
Lima
27%
Pokrajac
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:59
Marcos
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
"Pezao"
2210
6'1"75" reachOrthodox41 yrsStriker
CFR 39
IP
Igor Pokrajac
"The Duke"
2813
Well-Rounded5-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 15
★ Official Result
Marcos Rogerio de LimawinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:59
def. Igor Pokrajac · UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lima
Actual result
Lima wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Lima is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Lima's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pokrajac has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
LimaPokrajac
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Lima
Pokrajac
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
74"
41+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lima
Pokrajac
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.4
14.6
53.8
Performance Avg
43.2
49
Quality of Victory
50
59
Momentum Score
33
Lima
Pokrajac
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.7
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
6.9
Style: Pressure
6.3
3.4
Style: Volume
2.7
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
3
2
Body
0
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance3
8Clinch0
2Ground0
Lima
Pokrajac
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
1.8
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lima
Pokrajac
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
14
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
18/32 fights
Chin rating based on
13/41 fights
Lima
Pokrajac
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
33
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Lima
Pokrajac
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
75%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lima
Pokrajac
Striking6.7 / 5.7Volume3.4 / 2.7Grappling2.1 / 2.6Wrestling1.5 / 1.8Submission1.8 / 2.5Pressure6.9 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
Lima
Strike Zones
Pokrajac
Lima
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY7LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Pokrajac
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY7LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lima targets the head (50% of attacks) — Pokrajac absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Pokrajac targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lima
RND
Pokrajac
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Lima · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Junior Tafa
KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Derrick Lewis
KO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
W · Sub · R1
Andrei Arlovski
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Blagoy Ivanov
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05

Pokrajac · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jan Blachowicz
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04
L · KO · R1
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
L · KO · R1
Rafael Cavalcante
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11
L · Dec · R3
Ryan Jimmo
Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
Upcoming
Joey Beltran
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12

News & Media

Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Igor Pokrajac
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