UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos
Winnipeg, Canada
16 Dec 2017
Welterweight
VS
51%
Lawler
49%
Anjos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
RL
Robbie Lawler
"Ruthless"
30 – 16
5'11"74" reachSouthpaw44 yrsStriker
CFR 41
Rafael
Rafael Dos Anjos
32 – 17
Well-Rounded3-fight slide41 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'8"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lawler

This is a genuine toss-up — Lawler at 51% vs Anjos at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lawler has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lawler's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Anjos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Lawler
Anjos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
74"+
Reach
70"
44
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Lawler
Anjos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.7
38.8
51.0
Performance Avg
47.7
45
Quality of Victory
41
90
Momentum Score
49
Lawler
Anjos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
47%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
8 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
20
1
Body
13
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
8Distance17
3Clinch20
0Ground0
Lawler
Anjos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lawler
Anjos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/46 fights
Chin rating based on
36/49 fights
Lawler
Anjos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
90
49
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R5
Lawler
Anjos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
43%
8
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
5
7
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lawler
Anjos
Striking6.5 / 3.1Volume4.9 / 5.7Grappling1.1 / 3.3Wrestling0.8 / 2.3Submission0.0 / 2.4Pressure5.5 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.4
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
Lawler
Strike Zones
Anjos
Lawler
Attacking
10HEAD1BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD13BODY4LEGS37 absorbed
Anjos
Attacking
20HEAD13BODY4LEGS37 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD1BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lawler targets the head (91% of attacks) — Anjos absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Anjos targets the head (54% of attacks) — Lawler absorbs 54% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lawler
RND
Anjos
0/0R00/0

Lawler · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.2W5.0W2.8L4.5W2.8L1.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5W4.9W4.5W5.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W5.7L1.5L6.8L6.1L5.2W3.2L5.7W2002-052013-022015-072020-082023-07
WinLossTrend

Anjos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L6.0L4.5W5.6W4.8W6.8L6.6L5.4W6.6L6.3L4.5W5.3W5.0L5.7W7.0L6.6L2.5L2008-112012-072015-122019-072024-10
WinLossTrend

Lawler · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
L · KO · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
W · KO · R3
Nick DiazRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08

Anjos · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Vicente LuqueRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R5
Rafael FizievRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07

News & Media

Robbie Lawler · Rafael Dos Anjos
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