METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2
Montevideo, Uruguay
10 Aug 2019
Women's Strawweight
VS
51%
Pennington
49%
Rodriguez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Marina RodriguezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tecia Pennington · UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pennington
→
Actual result
Rodriguez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Pennington at 51% vs Rodriguez at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Rodriguez has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PenningtonRodriguez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pennington
Rodriguez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'6"
60"
Reach
+65"
37+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pennington
Rodriguez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.8
48.6
39.8
Performance Avg
41.7
28
Quality of Victory
34
89
Momentum Score
83
Pennington
Rodriguez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
2.4
Style: Pressure
3.6
7.7
Style: Volume
6.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
11
7
Body
15
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
10Distance11
2Clinch18
0Ground1
Pennington
Rodriguez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pennington
Rodriguez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
48
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/23 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Pennington
Rodriguez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
83
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Pennington
Rodriguez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
9%
29%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pennington
Rodriguez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
PenningtonRodriguez
Strike Zones
Pennington
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedRodriguez
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pennington targets the body (58% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Rodriguez targets the body (50% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pennington
RND
Rodriguez
0/0R00/0
Pennington · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Denise GomesDecision
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Luana PinheiroDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Carla EsparzaDecision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Mackenzie DernDecision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
Rodriguez · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Gillian RobertsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoDecision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeDecision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Michelle Waterson-GomezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaDecision
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