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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2
Montevideo, Uruguay
10 Aug 2019
Women's Strawweight
VS
51%
Pennington
49%
Rodriguez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Tecia
Tecia Pennington
"Tiny Tornado"
15 – 8
5'1"60" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 50
Marina
Marina Rodriguez
17 – 6
Well-Rounded3-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'6"
CFR 49
★ Official Result
Marina RodriguezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tecia Pennington · UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pennington
→
Actual result
Rodriguez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Pennington at 51% vs Rodriguez at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Pennington has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Rodriguez has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
PenningtonRodriguez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pennington
Rodriguez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'6"
60"
Reach
+65"
36+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pennington
Rodriguez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.8
48.6
39.8
Performance Avg
41.7
28
Quality of Victory
34
89
Momentum Score
83
Pennington
Rodriguez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
1.5
51%
Strike Accuracy
48%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
11
7
Body
15
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
10Distance11
2Clinch18
0Ground1
Pennington
Rodriguez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pennington
Rodriguez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
48
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/23 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Pennington
Rodriguez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
83
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Pennington
Rodriguez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
9%
29%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pennington
Rodriguez
Striking1.2 / 3.9Volume7.7 / 6.8Grappling2.7 / 1.7Wrestling1.9 / 1.2Submission0.9 / 0.0Pressure2.4 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
Pennington
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Pennington
Attacking
4HEAD7BODY1LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD15BODY4LEGS30 absorbed
Rodriguez
Attacking
11HEAD15BODY4LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD7BODY1LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pennington targets the body (58% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Rodriguez targets the body (50% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pennington
RND
Rodriguez
0/0R00/0

Pennington · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W4.6W4.5W6.9L4.5W5.2W4.5W6.3L5.5L7.3L6.2L4.5W4.7W4.6W6.7L6.2L4.8W4.5W6.8L2014-122017-072019-082024-052025-11
WinLossTrend

Rodriguez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.5W5.2W5.8L5.4W4.5W5.7W5.5W3.8L6.2L5.2W6.3L6.4L4.0L2019-032021-052023-052025-05
WinLossTrend

Pennington · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Denise GomesRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Luana PinheiroRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Carla EsparzaRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Mackenzie DernRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04

Rodriguez · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Gillian RobertsonRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

News & Media

Tecia Pennington · Marina Rodriguez
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