Waldo Cortes Acosta vs Derrick Lewis — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett

Las Vegas, USA

24 Jan 2026

Heavyweight

53%

Acosta

47%

Lewis

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 2 · 3:14

Waldo Cortes Acosta

"Salsa Boy"

17 – 3

6'4"78" reachOrthodox34 yrsStriker

CFR 66

Derrick Lewis

"The Black Beast"

29 – 13

Knockout Artist41 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'3"

CFR 59

★ Official Result

Waldo Cortes AcostawinsKO/TKOR2 · 3:14

def. Derrick Lewis · UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Acosta

→

Actual result

Acosta wins

KO/TKO · R2

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Acosta at 53% vs Lewis at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lewis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Striking split: Acosta throws more volume but Lewis connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Lewis has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

AcostaLewis

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Acosta

Lewis

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'4"+

Height

6'3"

78"

Reach

+79"

34+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Acosta

Lewis

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

65.8

59.2

55.7

Performance Avg

57.5

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Acosta

Lewis

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.4

1.3

50%

Strike Accuracy

56%

6.5

Striking Style Score (/10)

9.3

5 KOs

KO Finishes

16 KOs

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

16Distance4

1Clinch0

15Ground0

Acosta

Lewis

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

—

Sub Attempts / fight

0.1

1.2

Grappling Style Score (/10)

0.5

0.8

Wrestling Style Score (/10)

0.3

0:00

Control Time (this fight)

0:00

Reversals

Acosta

Lewis

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R2.1 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

1 fight ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

13/20 fights

Chin rating based on

32/42 fights

Acosta

Lewis

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R2

W · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

Upcoming

L · KO · R2

W · KO · R1

W · KO · R3

L · Dec · R5

Acosta

Lewis

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

50%

80%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Acosta

Lewis

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

6.5

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

9.3

1.2

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.5

0.8

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.3

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

5.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.5

5.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

2.9

Acosta

Strike Zones

Lewis

Acosta

Attacking

32 landed

Absorbing

4 absorbed

Lewis

Attacking

4 landed

Absorbing

32 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Acosta targets the head (88% of attacks) — Lewis absorbs 88% of strikes there

🎯Lewis targets the head (75% of attacks) — Acosta absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Acosta

RND

Lewis

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Acosta · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6

WinLossTrend

Lewis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6

WinLossTrend

Acosta · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Alexander VolkovRating 6.8

Decision

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05

W · KO · R2

Derrick LewisRating 6.5

KO/TKO

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01

W · KO · R1

Shamil GazievRating 5.7

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11

W · KO · R1

Ante DelijaRating 6

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11

L · Dec · R3

Sergei PavlovichRating 6.7

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08

Lewis · Last 5

Upcoming

Josh Hokit

UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06

L · KO · R2

Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 4.3

KO/TKO

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01

W · KO · R1

Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.2

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07

W · KO · R3

Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.6

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

L · Dec · R5

Jailton AlmeidaRating 7.3

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11

News & Media

Waldo Cortes Acosta · Derrick Lewis

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