METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
Sydney, Australia
31 Jan 2026
Light Heavyweight
VS
44%
Tafa
56%
Elekana
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:18
★ Official Result
Billy ElekanawinsSubmissionR2 · 3:18
def. Junior Tafa · UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Elekana
→
Actual result
Elekana wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Tafa at 44% vs Elekana at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tafa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Tafa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Tafa's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TafaElekana
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tafa
Elekana
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
75"
Reach
+77"
29+
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Tafa
Elekana
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.3
66.3
50.0
Performance Avg
55.7
58
Quality of Victory
43
39
Momentum Score
98
Tafa
Elekana
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
1.2
59%
Strike Accuracy
59%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
14
4
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance14
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Tafa
Elekana
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tafa
Elekana
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/12 fights
Chin rating based on
5/12 fights
Tafa
Elekana
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
98
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Tafa
Elekana
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tafa
Elekana
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
TafaElekana
Strike Zones
Tafa
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedElekana
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tafa targets the head (67% of attacks) — Elekana absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Elekana targets the head (93% of attacks) — Tafa absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tafa
RND
Elekana
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Tafa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Elekana · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Tafa · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Kevin ChristianRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Sub · R2
Billy ElekanaRating 4.3Submission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Sub · R2
Tuco TokkosRating 3.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Sean SharafRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Sub · R1
Valter WalkerRating 3.4Submission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
Elekana · Last 5
Upcoming
Iwo BaraniewskiUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Sub · R2
Junior TafaRating 6.1Submission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Sub · R1
Kevin ChristianRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Ibo AslanRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R2
Bogdan GuskovRating 4.8Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01