UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
Sydney, Australia
31 Jan 2026
Light Heavyweight
VS
44%
Tafa
56%
Elekana
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:18
Junior
Junior Tafa
"The Juggernaut"
7 – 5
6'3"75" reachOrthodox29 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 51
Billy
Billy Elekana
"Son of Susie"
10 – 2
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak30 yrsSouthpaw77" reach6'3"
CFR 66

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Elekana

This is a genuine toss-up — Tafa at 44% vs Elekana at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Tafa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Tafa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Tafa's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tafa
Elekana
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
75"
Reach
+77"
29+
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Tafa
Elekana
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.3
66.3
50.0
Performance Avg
55.7
58
Quality of Victory
43
39
Momentum Score
98
Tafa
Elekana
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.2
59%
Strike Accuracy
59%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
14
4
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance14
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Tafa
Elekana
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tafa
Elekana
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/12 fights
Chin rating based on
5/12 fights
Tafa
Elekana
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
98
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Tafa
Elekana
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tafa
Elekana
Striking10.0 / 1.5Volume0.8 / 4.2Grappling0.0 / 6.1Wrestling0.0 / 4.3Submission0.0 / 6.7Pressure8.1 / 6.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Tafa
Strike Zones
Elekana
Tafa
Attacking
8HEAD4BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD1BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Elekana
Attacking
14HEAD1BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD4BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tafa targets the head (67% of attacks) — Elekana absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Elekana targets the head (93% of attacks) — Tafa absorbs 93% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tafa
RND
Elekana
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Tafa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0106.5L5.0W3.4L3.4L5.2W3.5L4.3L5.0W2023-042024-022024-102026-012026-05
WinLossTrend

Elekana · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.8L5.4W5.0W6.1W2025-012025-072025-112026-01
WinLossTrend

Tafa · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Kevin ChristianRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Sub · R2
Billy ElekanaRating 4.3
Submission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Sub · R2
Tuco TokkosRating 3.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Sean SharafRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Sub · R1
Valter WalkerRating 3.4
Submission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08

Elekana · Last 5

Upcoming
Iwo Baraniewski
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Sub · R2
Junior TafaRating 6.1
Submission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Sub · R1
Kevin ChristianRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Ibo AslanRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R2
Bogdan GuskovRating 4.8
Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01

News & Media

Junior Tafa · Billy Elekana
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