METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
Sydney, Australia
31 Jan 2026
Light Heavyweight
VS
42%
Tafa
58%
Elekana
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:18
★ Official Result
Billy ElekanawinsSubmissionR2 · 3:18
def. Junior Tafa · UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Elekana
→
Actual result
Elekana wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Tafa at 42% vs Elekana at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tafa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Tafa's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TafaElekana
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tafa
Elekana
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
75"
Reach
+77"
29+
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Tafa
Elekana
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.6
66.3
48.3
Performance Avg
55.7
58
Quality of Victory
43
39
Momentum Score
98
Tafa
Elekana
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
6.9
0.7
Style: Volume
4.2
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
14
4
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance14
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Tafa
Elekana
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tafa
Elekana
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Tafa
Elekana
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
98
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Tafa
Elekana
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tafa
Elekana
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
TafaElekana
Strike Zones
Tafa
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedElekana
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tafa targets the head (67% of attacks) — Elekana absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Elekana targets the head (93% of attacks) — Tafa absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tafa
RND
Elekana
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Tafa · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Iwo BaraniewskiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Kevin ChristianKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Sub · R2
Billy ElekanaSubmission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Sub · R2
Tuco TokkosSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Sean SharafKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
Elekana · Last 4
W · Sub · R2
Junior TafaSubmission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Sub · R1
Kevin ChristianSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Ibo AslanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R2
Bogdan GuskovSubmission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01