METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik
Washington, USA
7 Dec 2019
Featherweight
VS
96%
Quarantillo
4%
Kilburn
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:18
★ Official Result
Billy QuarantillowinsSubmissionR2 · 3:18
def. Jacob Kilburn · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Quarantillo
→
Actual result
Quarantillo wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Quarantillo is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 56 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Quarantillo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 42 points.
Quarantillo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Quarantillo's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
QuarantilloKilburn
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Quarantillo
Kilburn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
+72"
37
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Quarantillo
Kilburn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.1
2.4
47.3
Performance Avg
0.0
42
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Quarantillo
Kilburn
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
1.1
57%
Strike Accuracy
35%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
32
Head
0
4
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
36Ground0
Quarantillo
Kilburn
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Quarantillo
Kilburn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/25 fights
Chin rating based on
2/12 fights
Quarantillo
Kilburn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Quarantillo
Kilburn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Quarantillo
Kilburn
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
QuarantilloKilburn
Strike Zones
Quarantillo
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedKilburn
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Quarantillo targets the head (89% of attacks) — Kilburn absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Kilburn targets the body (100% of attacks) — Quarantillo absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Quarantillo
RND
Kilburn
0/0R00/0
Quarantillo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Kilburn · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Quarantillo · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Cub SwansonRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Sub · R2
Youssef ZalalRating 3.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Damon JacksonRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Edson BarbozaRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · KO · R2
Alexander HernandezRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
Kilburn · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Austin LingoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · Sub · R2
Billy QuarantilloRating 3.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12