METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik
Washington, USA
7 Dec 2019
Featherweight
VS
96%
Quarantillo
4%
Kilburn
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:18
★ Official Result
Billy QuarantillowinsSubmissionR2 · 3:18
def. Jacob Kilburn · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Quarantillo
→
Actual result
Quarantillo wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Quarantillo is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 50 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Quarantillo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 42 points.
Risk flags
Quarantillo's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
QuarantilloKilburn
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Quarantillo
Kilburn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
+72"
37
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Quarantillo
Kilburn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.6
2.4
45.5
Performance Avg
0.0
42
Quality of Victory
0
78
Momentum Score
0
Quarantillo
Kilburn
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
6.2
Style: Pressure
0.0
3.7
Style: Volume
0.0
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
32
Head
0
4
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
36Ground0
Quarantillo
Kilburn
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Quarantillo
Kilburn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/25 fights
Chin rating based on
2/12 fights
Quarantillo
Kilburn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Quarantillo
Kilburn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Quarantillo
Kilburn
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
QuarantilloKilburn
Strike Zones
Quarantillo
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedKilburn
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Quarantillo targets the head (89% of attacks) — Kilburn absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Kilburn targets the body (100% of attacks) — Quarantillo absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Quarantillo
RND
Kilburn
0/0R00/0
Quarantillo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Diego FerreiraDecision
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L · KO · R3
Cub SwansonKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R2
Youssef ZalalSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Damon JacksonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Edson BarbozaKO/TKO
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Kilburn · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Austin LingoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · Sub · R2
Billy QuarantilloSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12