Amir Albazi vs Alessandro Costa — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland

Las Vegas, USA

17 Dec 2022

Flyweight

49%

Albazi

51%

Costa

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 3 · 2:13

Amir Albazi

"The Prince"

17 – 3

5'5"68" reachOrthodox32 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 62

Alessandro Costa

"Nono"

15 – 5

Knockout Artist3-fight win streak30 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'4"

CFR 66

★ Official Result

Amir AlbaziwinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:13

def. Alessandro Costa · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Costa

→

Actual result

Albazi wins

KO/TKO · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Albazi at 49% vs Costa at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Costa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Risk flags

Costa has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

AlbaziCosta

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Albazi

Costa

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'5"+

Height

5'4"

68"+

Reach

67"

Age

+30

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Albazi

Costa

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

61.9

65.6

53.5

Performance Avg

57.9

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Albazi

Costa

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.4

/ 10

9.3

/ 10

6.3

Style: Pressure

8.9

4.6

Style: Volume

1.3

1 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

4 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

8Distance4

0Clinch1

2Ground0

Albazi

Costa

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.2

/ 10

1.6

/ 10

2.9

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.1

4.0

Submission Style (/10)

2.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Albazi

Costa

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R3.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

3 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

7/20 fights

Chin rating based on

8/20 fights

Albazi

Costa

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

3-fight 🔥 win streak

L · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R5

W · KO · R3

W · Sub · R1

Last 5

W · Sub · R2

W · KO · R1

W · KO · R2

L · KO · R3

W · KO · R2

Albazi

Costa

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

60%

100%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Albazi

Costa

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.4

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

9.3

4.2

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.6

2.9

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.1

4.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

2.0

6.3

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

8.9

4.6

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

1.3

Albazi

Strike Zones

Costa

Albazi

Attacking

10 landed

Absorbing

5 absorbed

Costa

Attacking

5 landed

Absorbing

10 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Albazi targets the head (60% of attacks) — Costa absorbs 60% of strikes there

🎯Costa targets the head (40% of attacks) — Albazi absorbs 40% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Albazi

RND

Costa

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Albazi · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Kyoji Horiguchi

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02

L · Dec · R5

Brandon Moreno

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11

W · Dec · R5

Kai Kara-France

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06

W · KO · R3

Alessandro Costa

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12

W · Sub · R1

Francisco Figueiredo

Submission

UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08

Costa · Last 5

W · Sub · R2

Cody Durden

Submission

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07

W · KO · R1

Matt Schnell

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06

W · KO · R2

Stewart Nicoll

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04

L · KO · R3

Alden Coria

KO/TKO

Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09

W · KO · R2

Kevin Borjas

KO/TKO

UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05

News & Media

Amir Albazi · Alessandro Costa

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