METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
Las Vegas, USA
17 Dec 2022
Flyweight
VS
50%
Albazi
50%
Costa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:13
★ Official Result
Amir AlbaziwinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:13
def. Alessandro Costa · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Albazi
→
Actual result
Albazi wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Albazi at 50% vs Costa at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Costa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Costa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Costa has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlbaziCosta
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Albazi
Costa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
68"+
Reach
67"
32
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Albazi
Costa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.9
62.9
53.5
Performance Avg
53.0
42
Quality of Victory
55
82
Momentum Score
85
Albazi
Costa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.3
38%
Strike Accuracy
59%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
3
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance4
0Clinch1
2Ground0
Albazi
Costa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Albazi
Costa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/20 fights
Chin rating based on
6/20 fights
Albazi
Costa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
85
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Albazi
Costa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Albazi
Costa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
AlbaziCosta
Strike Zones
Albazi
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedCosta
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Albazi targets the head (60% of attacks) — Costa absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Costa targets the head (40% of attacks) — Albazi absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Albazi
RND
Costa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Albazi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Costa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Albazi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R5
Brandon MorenoRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Dec · R5
Kai Kara-FranceRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · KO · R3
Alessandro CostaRating 6.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
W · Sub · R1
Francisco FigueiredoRating 5Submission
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
Costa · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Stewart NicollRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · KO · R3
Alden CoriaRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · KO · R2
Kevin BorjasRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Steve ErcegRating 6.1Decision
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
W · KO · R2
Jimmy FlickRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06