UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
Las Vegas, USA
17 Dec 2022
Flyweight
VS
50%
Albazi
50%
Costa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:13
Amir
Amir Albazi
"The Prince"
17 – 3
5'5"68" reachOrthodox32 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 62
Alessandro
Alessandro Costa
"Nono"
15 – 5
Knockout Artist30 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'4"
CFR 63

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Albazi

This is a genuine toss-up — Albazi at 50% vs Costa at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Costa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Costa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Costa has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Albazi
Costa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
68"+
Reach
67"
32
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Albazi
Costa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.9
62.9
53.5
Performance Avg
53.0
42
Quality of Victory
55
82
Momentum Score
85
Albazi
Costa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.3
38%
Strike Accuracy
59%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
3
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance4
0Clinch1
2Ground0
Albazi
Costa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Albazi
Costa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/20 fights
Chin rating based on
6/20 fights
Albazi
Costa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
85
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Albazi
Costa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Albazi
Costa
Striking3.4 / 10.0Volume4.6 / 1.0Grappling4.2 / 0.0Wrestling2.9 / 0.0Submission4.0 / 0.0Pressure6.3 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Albazi
Strike Zones
Costa
Albazi
Attacking
6HEAD3BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Costa
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD3BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Albazi targets the head (60% of attacks) — Costa absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Costa targets the head (40% of attacks) — Albazi absorbs 40% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Albazi
RND
Costa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Albazi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.0W4.5W5.0W6.9W5.4W6.4L7.0L2020-072022-082023-062026-02
WinLossTrend

Costa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.3L5.7W6.1L5.2W5.7L5.2W2022-122023-062023-112024-052025-092026-04
WinLossTrend

Albazi · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R5
Brandon MorenoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Dec · R5
Kai Kara-FranceRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · KO · R3
Alessandro CostaRating 6.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
W · Sub · R1
Francisco FigueiredoRating 5
Submission
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08

Costa · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Stewart NicollRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · KO · R3
Alden CoriaRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · KO · R2
Kevin BorjasRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Steve ErcegRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
W · KO · R2
Jimmy FlickRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

News & Media

Amir Albazi · Alessandro Costa
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