UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
Toronto, Canada
21 Sept 2013
Middleweight
VS
50%
Philippou
50%
Carmont
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CP
Constantinos Philippou
13 – 5
5'11"73" reachOrthodox46 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
FC
Francis Carmont
"Limitless"
25 – 12
Well-Rounded3-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'3"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Philippou

This is a genuine toss-up — Philippou at 50% vs Carmont at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Philippou throws more volume but Carmont connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Philippou
Carmont
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+78"
46
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Philippou
Carmont
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
18.4
48.5
Performance Avg
46.6
41
Quality of Victory
33
62
Momentum Score
78
Philippou
Carmont
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.8
36%
Strike Accuracy
50%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
9
0
Body
3
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground10
Philippou
Carmont
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Philippou
Carmont
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/18 fights
Chin rating based on
9/37 fights
Philippou
Carmont
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
62
78
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Philippou
Carmont
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Philippou
Carmont
Striking6.2 / 1.3Volume5.2 / 6.7Grappling1.2 / 4.3Wrestling0.8 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure5.3 / 4.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
Philippou
Strike Zones
Carmont
Philippou
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY2LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD3BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Carmont
Attacking
9HEAD3BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY2LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Philippou targets the head (50% of attacks) — Carmont absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Carmont targets the head (75% of attacks) — Philippou absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Philippou
RND
Carmont
0/0R00/0

Philippou · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L4.5W5.0W4.7W4.5W5.5W5.5L1.5L5.0W5.5L2011-032012-032013-092015-05
WinLossTrend

Carmont · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W5.2W5.2W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.5L2.8L2011-102012-112014-022014-08
WinLossTrend

Philippou · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gegard MousasiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · 2015-05
W · KO · R1
Lorenz LarkinRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
L · KO · R1
Luke RockholdRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · Dec · R3
Francis CarmontRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
W · KO · R3
Tim BoetschRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12

Carmont · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Thales LeitesRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08
L · Dec · R3
CB DollawayRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
L · Dec · R3
Jacare SouzaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02
W · Dec · R3
Constantinos PhilippouRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
W · Dec · R3
Lorenz LarkinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez · 2013-04

News & Media

Constantinos Philippou · Francis Carmont
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