METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Lightweight
UFC 80: Rapid Fire
Newcastle, United Kingdom
19 Jan 2008
Lightweight
VS
53%
Penn
47%
Stevenson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:02
★ Official Result
BJ PennwinsSubmissionR2 · 4:02
def. Joe Stevenson · UFC 80: Rapid Fire
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Penn
→
Actual result
Penn wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Penn at 53% vs Stevenson at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Penn has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Penn has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Penn's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stevenson has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PennStevenson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Penn
Stevenson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
70"
47
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Penn
Stevenson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.2
19.6
56.9
Performance Avg
49.2
63
Quality of Victory
49
100
Momentum Score
86
Penn
Stevenson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.0
51%
Strike Accuracy
45%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.3
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
7
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
20Distance7
1Clinch2
7Ground0
Penn
Stevenson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.9
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Penn
Stevenson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
44
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/30 fights
Chin rating based on
16/49 fights
Penn
Stevenson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
86
7-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Penn
Stevenson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Penn
Stevenson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
1.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
PennStevenson
Strike Zones
Penn
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedStevenson
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Penn targets the head (96% of attacks) — Stevenson absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Stevenson targets the head (78% of attacks) — Penn absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Penn
RND
Stevenson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Penn · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Stevenson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Penn · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6Decision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Sub · R1
Ryan HallRating 1.5Submission
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · KO · R2
Yair RodriguezRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · KO · R3
Frankie EdgarRating 2.8KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07
Stevenson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Javier VazquezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Danny CastilloRating 5.5Decision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
L · KO · R1
Mac DanzigRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · 2010-12
L · Dec · R3
George SotiropoulosRating 5.5Decision
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
W · KO · R2
Spencer FisherRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10