★ Championship Bout · Ultimate Fighter 28 Women's Featherweight Tournament
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale
Las Vegas, USA
30 Nov 2018
Ultimate Fighter 28 Women's Featherweight Tournament
VS
34%
Kianzad
66%
Chiasson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:11
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Chiasson
Chiasson holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Kianzad has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Chiasson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Kianzad has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Kianzad's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Chiasson has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Kianzad
Chiasson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
66"
Reach
+72"
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kianzad
Chiasson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
61.5
33.2
Performance Avg
53.0
25
Quality of Victory
50
45
Momentum Score
96
Kianzad
Chiasson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
47%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
8
2
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance7
3Clinch3
0Ground2
Kianzad
Chiasson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kianzad
Chiasson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
58
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/26 fights
Chin rating based on
14/17 fights
Kianzad
Chiasson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
96
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · R2
W · Sub · R1
Kianzad
Chiasson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kianzad
Chiasson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
1.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
8.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
KianzadChiasson
Strike Zones
Kianzad
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedChiasson
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kianzad targets the head (60% of attacks) — Chiasson absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Chiasson targets the head (67% of attacks) — Kianzad absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kianzad
RND
Chiasson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Kianzad · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Chiasson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Kianzad · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Macy ChiassonRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Lina LansbergRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Raquel PenningtonRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09
Chiasson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ailin PerezRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosRating 5.6Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · R2
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 4.9UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Pannie KianzadRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03

