METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo
Norfolk, USA
29 Feb 2020
Middleweight
VS
76%
Allen
24%
Breese
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:47
Brendan
Brendan Allen
"All In"
267
6'2"75" reachOrthodox30 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 61
TB
Tom Breese
123
Knockout Artist34 yrsSouthpaw73" reach6'3"
CFR 20
★ Official Result
Brendan AllenwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:47
def. Tom Breese · UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Allen
Actual result
Allen wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Allen is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Breese has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Risk flags

Allen's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Breese has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
AllenBreese
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Allen
Breese
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
75"+
Reach
73"
30+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Allen
Breese
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.3
19.7
56.6
Performance Avg
56.8
42
Quality of Victory
53
88
Momentum Score
46
Allen
Breese
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
9.3
/ 10
6.6
Style: Pressure
7.5
4.8
Style: Volume
2.9
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
0
3
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
2Clinch4
16Ground0
Allen
Breese
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
3.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
4.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
7
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Allen
Breese
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
13 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
20/33 fights
Chin rating based on
8/15 fights
Allen
Breese
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
46
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Allen
Breese
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
80%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
7
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Allen
Breese
Striking2.9 / 9.3Volume4.8 / 2.9Grappling4.7 / 0.5Wrestling3.3 / 0.3Submission4.7 / 0.0Pressure6.6 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.3
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
4.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
Allen
Strike Zones
Breese
Allen
Attacking
17HEAD3BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD4BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Breese
Attacking
0HEAD4BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD3BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Allen targets the head (85% of attacks) — Breese absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Breese targets the body (100% of attacks) — Allen absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Allen
RND
Breese
0/0R00/0

Allen · Last 5

Upcoming
Christian Leroy Duncan
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · 2026-10
W · Dec · R3
Edmen Shahbazyan
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R4
Reinier de Ridder
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Marvin Vettori
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Anthony Hernandez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02

Breese · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Omari Akhmedov
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
W · KO · R1
KB Bhullar
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
L · KO · R1
Brendan Allen
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
W · KO · R1
Daniel Kelly
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Sean Strickland
Decision
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06

News & Media

Brendan Allen · Tom Breese
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