UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo
Norfolk, USA
29 Feb 2020
Middleweight
VS
76%
Allen
24%
Breese
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:47
Brendan
Brendan Allen
"All In"
26 – 7
6'2"75" reachOrthodox30 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 62
TB
Tom Breese
12 – 3
Knockout Artist34 yrsSouthpaw73" reach6'3"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Allen

Allen is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Breese has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Breese has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Allen's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Breese has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Allen
Breese
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
75"+
Reach
73"
30+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Allen
Breese
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.8
19.7
56.8
Performance Avg
56.8
43
Quality of Victory
53
88
Momentum Score
46
Allen
Breese
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.3
53%
Strike Accuracy
54%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
0
3
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
2Clinch4
16Ground0
Allen
Breese
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
3.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Allen
Breese
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
12 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/33 fights
Chin rating based on
8/15 fights
Allen
Breese
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
46
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Allen
Breese
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
80%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
7
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Allen
Breese
Striking3.0 / 9.3Volume4.4 / 2.9Grappling4.9 / 0.5Wrestling3.4 / 0.3Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.3
4.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
Allen
Strike Zones
Breese
Allen
Attacking
17HEAD3BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD4BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Breese
Attacking
0HEAD4BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD3BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Allen targets the head (85% of attacks) — Breese absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Breese targets the body (100% of attacks) — Allen absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Allen
RND
Breese
0/0R00/0

Allen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.8W5.0W5.1W3.9L5.0W5.5W3.5L5.2W5.5W5.0W6.4W6.3W6.0W5.2W6.9L6.9L5.3W6.4W2019-102021-072023-022025-022025-10
WinLossTrend

Breese · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W4.5W6.6L5.0W2.8L5.0W2.8L2015-052016-022018-052020-102021-01
WinLossTrend

Allen · Last 5

Upcoming
Edmen Shahbazyan
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R4
Reinier de RidderRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Anthony HernandezRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Nassourdine ImavovRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09

Breese · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Omari AkhmedovRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
W · KO · R1
KB BhullarRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
L · KO · R1
Brendan AllenRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
W · KO · R1
Daniel KellyRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06

News & Media

Brendan Allen · Tom Breese
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