UFC 81: Breaking Point
Las Vegas, USA
2 Feb 2008
Light Heavyweight
VS
54%
Boetsch
46%
Heath
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:52
TB
Tim Boetsch
"The Barbarian"
21 – 13
6'0"74" reachOrthodox45 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 17
DH
David Heath
18 – 7
Well-Rounded3-fight slide50 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Boetsch

This is a genuine toss-up — Boetsch at 54% vs Heath at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Boetsch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Boetsch's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Heath has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Boetsch
Heath
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
72"
45+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Boetsch
Heath
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
14.0
46.0
Performance Avg
39.7
43
Quality of Victory
40
69
Momentum Score
28
Boetsch
Heath
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.5
57%
Strike Accuracy
28%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
5
14
Body
0
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
20Distance7
18Clinch0
4Ground0
Boetsch
Heath
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Boetsch
Heath
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
64
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/34 fights
Chin rating based on
5/25 fights
Boetsch
Heath
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
28
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Boetsch
Heath
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
50%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Boetsch
Heath
Striking6.8 / 0.8Volume4.3 / 4.8Grappling1.0 / 5.2Wrestling0.7 / 3.6Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure5.6 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Boetsch
Strike Zones
Heath
Boetsch
Attacking
25HEAD14BODY3LEGS42 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY2LEGS7 absorbed
Heath
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY2LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD14BODY3LEGS42 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Boetsch targets the head (60% of attacks) — Heath absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Heath targets the head (71% of attacks) — Boetsch absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Boetsch
RND
Heath
0/0R00/0

Boetsch · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W2.8L5.0W5.5L4.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W5.5W4.5W4.0L5.5L4.5W1.5L5.3W2.8L1.5L2.9L5.2W5.0W1.5L5.2W1.5L5.5L2008-022011-052013-102016-072019-03
WinLossTrend

Heath · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0105.0W4.5W5.5L2.8L1.5L2006-082006-122007-042007-082008-02
WinLossTrend

Boetsch · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R2
Johny HendricksRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · KO · R1
Rafael NatalRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11

Heath · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Tim BoetschRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 81: Breaking Point · 2008-02
L · Sub · R2
Renato SobralRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 74: Respect · 2007-08
L · Dec · R3
Lyoto MachidaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 70: Nations Collide · 2007-04
W · Dec · R3
Victor ValimakiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12
W · Sub · R1
Cory WalmsleyRating 5
Submission
UFC 62: Liddell vs Sobral · 2006-08

News & Media

Tim Boetsch · David Heath
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