UFC 100
Las Vegas, USA
11 Jul 2009
Lightweight
VS
71%
Miller
29%
Danzig
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Miller
Miller is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Danzig has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Danzig has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Miller
Danzig
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
71"+
Reach
70"
42+
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Danzig
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
17.9
51.5
Performance Avg
46.0
45
Quality of Victory
51
28
Momentum Score
65
Miller
Danzig
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.3
41%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
4
2
Body
5
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance7
1Clinch1
3Ground1
Miller
Danzig
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.2
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Danzig
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
44
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
13/33 fights
Miller
Danzig
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
65
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Miller
Danzig
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
60%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
14
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Danzig
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
MillerDanzig
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedDanzig
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (67% of attacks) — Danzig absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Danzig targets the body (56% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Danzig
0/0R00/0
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Danzig · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Miller · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Danzig · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Joe LauzonRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
L · KO · R2
Melvin GuillardRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Takanori GomiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
W · Dec · R3
Efrain EscuderoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
L · Dec · R3
Matt WimanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10