UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
Las Vegas, USA
16 Oct 2021
Lightweight
VS
94%
Miller
6%
Gonzalez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:14
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Miller
Miller is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Miller has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 45 points.
Striking split: Gonzalez throws more volume but Miller connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gonzalez has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Miller
Gonzalez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+75"
42
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Gonzalez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
2.6
51.5
Performance Avg
0.0
45
Quality of Victory
0
28
Momentum Score
0
Miller
Gonzalez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.4
41%
Strike Accuracy
35%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Miller
Gonzalez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Gonzalez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
44
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
3/22 fights
Miller
Gonzalez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Miller
Gonzalez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
14
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Gonzalez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MillerGonzalez
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedGonzalez
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (100% of attacks) — Gonzalez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Gonzalez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Gonzalez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Gonzalez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.7WinLossTrend
Miller · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Gonzalez · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Trevor PeekRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02
L · Sub · R1
Terrance McKinneyRating 3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · KO · R2
Jim MillerRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10