UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine
Columbus, USA
7 Mar 2009
Middleweight
VS
49%
Grove
51%
Day
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:32
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Day
This is a genuine toss-up — Grove at 49% vs Day at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Day has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Grove's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Day has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Grove
Day
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'0"
79"+
Reach
72"
43+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Grove
Day
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
18.6
53.6
Performance Avg
49.3
53
Quality of Victory
60
52
Momentum Score
43
Grove
Day
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
5.6
43%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
4
1
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance3
1Clinch3
4Ground0
Grove
Day
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Grove
Day
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
56
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/40 fights
Chin rating based on
3/31 fights
Grove
Day
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
43
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Grove
Day
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Grove
Day
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
GroveDay
Strike Zones
Grove
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedDay
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Grove targets the head (80% of attacks) — Day absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Day targets the head (67% of attacks) — Grove absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Grove
RND
Day
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Grove · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Day · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.7WinLossTrend
Grove · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tim BoetschRating 5.5Decision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12
W · Dec · R3
Goran ReljicRating 4.5Decision
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · KO · R2
Mark MunozRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · Sub · R1
Jake RosholtRating 5Submission
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
Day · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Kendall GroveRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine · 2009-03
L · KO · R1
Michael BispingRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 85: Bedlam · 2008-06
W · KO · R1
Alan BelcherRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04