UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
13 Oct 2012
Middleweight
VS
56%
Cane
44%
Camozzi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cane
This is a genuine toss-up — Cane at 56% vs Camozzi at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Cane has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Striking split: Cane throws more volume but Camozzi connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Cane's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Camozzi has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Cane
Camozzi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
77"+
Reach
75"
45
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Cane
Camozzi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.2
14.4
47.8
Performance Avg
37.6
50
Quality of Victory
31
65
Momentum Score
63
Cane
Camozzi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.3
1.4
46%
Strike Accuracy
46%
8.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
24
4
Body
0
2
Leg
5
RangeRange
27Distance29
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Cane
Camozzi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.6
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cane
Camozzi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
40
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/24 fights
Chin rating based on
19/37 fights
Cane
Camozzi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
63
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Cane
Camozzi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
22%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cane
Camozzi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.1
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
CaneCamozzi
Strike Zones
Cane
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedCamozzi
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cane targets the head (79% of attacks) — Camozzi absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Camozzi targets the head (83% of attacks) — Cane absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cane
RND
Camozzi
0/0R00/0
Cane · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Camozzi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Cane · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Chris CamozziRating 5.5Decision
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L · KO · R1
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Camozzi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 5.5Decision
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