METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song
Las Vegas, USA
17 Sept 2022
Women's Flyweight
VS
41%
Agapova
59%
Robertson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:19
Mariya
Mariya Agapova
"Money Mashka"
105
5'6"68" reachSouthpaw29 yrs3-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 41
Gillian
Gillian Robertson
"The Savage"
178
Well-Rounded31 yrsOrthodox63" reach5'5"
CFR 58
★ Official Result
Gillian RobertsonwinsSubmissionR2 · 2:19
def. Mariya Agapova · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Robertson
Actual result
Robertson wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Agapova at 41% vs Robertson at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Agapova's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Robertson has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
AgapovaRobertson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Agapova
Robertson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
68"+
Reach
63"
29+
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Agapova
Robertson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.9
57.8
43.0
Performance Avg
53.1
50
Quality of Victory
44
33
Momentum Score
74
Agapova
Robertson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
7.0
0.7
Style: Volume
3.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Agapova
Robertson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
4.7
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.3
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
2
Submission wins
7
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Agapova
Robertson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
56
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
15 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
21/25 fights
Agapova
Robertson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
74
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Agapova
Robertson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
71%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
7
0
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Agapova
Robertson
Striking0.7 / 3.5Volume0.7 / 3.6Grappling8.0 / 4.7Wrestling5.6 / 3.3Submission10.0 / 5.0Pressure8.0 / 7.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.7
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Agapova
Strike Zones
Robertson
Agapova
Attacking
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 absorbed
Robertson
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Agapova targets the body (100% of attacks) — Robertson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Robertson targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Agapova absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Agapova
RND
Robertson
0/0R00/0

Agapova · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Luana Santos
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · Sub · R2
Gillian Robertson
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09
L · Sub · R2
Maryna Moroz
Submission
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
W · Sub · R3
Sabina Mazo
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
L · KO · R2
Shana Dobson
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08

Robertson · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Mackenzie Dern
Decision
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Amanda Lemos
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Marina Rodriguez
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Luana Pinheiro
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06

News & Media

Mariya Agapova · Gillian Robertson
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