UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song
Las Vegas, USA
17 Sept 2022
Women's Flyweight
VS
41%
Agapova
59%
Robertson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:19
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Robertson
This is a genuine toss-up — Agapova at 41% vs Robertson at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Agapova throws more volume but Robertson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Agapova's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Robertson has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Agapova
Robertson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
68"+
Reach
63"
29+
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Agapova
Robertson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.9
59.1
43.0
Performance Avg
55.0
50
Quality of Victory
45
33
Momentum Score
74
Agapova
Robertson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.2
46%
Strike Accuracy
52%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Agapova
Robertson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.7
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Agapova
Robertson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
58
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
14 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
20/25 fights
Agapova
Robertson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
74
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Agapova
Robertson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
71%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
7
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Agapova
Robertson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.7
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
AgapovaRobertson
Strike Zones
Agapova
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedRobertson
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Agapova targets the body (100% of attacks) — Robertson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Robertson targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Agapova absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Agapova
RND
Robertson
0/0R00/0
Agapova · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Robertson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Agapova · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Luana SantosRating 3.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · Sub · R2
Gillian RobertsonRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09
L · Sub · R2
Maryna MorozRating 3.3Submission
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
W · Sub · R3
Sabina MazoRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
L · KO · R2
Shana DobsonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
Robertson · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Amanda LemosRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Marina RodriguezRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Luana PinheiroRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 4.5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Polyana VianaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01