UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski
Perth, Australia
11 Feb 2023
Heavyweight
VS
70%
Tafa
30%
Porter
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:06
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tafa
Tafa is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tafa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Striking split: Porter throws more volume but Tafa connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Tafa's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Porter has a chin rating of 22 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Tafa
Porter
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
+75"
32+
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Tafa
Porter
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.1
28.5
53.8
Performance Avg
40.2
60
Quality of Victory
34
98
Momentum Score
45
Tafa
Porter
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
3.2
54%
Strike Accuracy
53%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
5
2
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance7
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Tafa
Porter
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tafa
Porter
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
22
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/12 fights
Chin rating based on
8/23 fights
Tafa
Porter
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Tafa
Porter
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
25%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tafa
Porter
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
TafaPorter
Strike Zones
Tafa
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedPorter
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tafa targets the head (75% of attacks) — Porter absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Porter targets the head (71% of attacks) — Tafa absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tafa
RND
Porter
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Tafa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Porter · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Tafa · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tallison TeixeiraRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Karl WilliamsRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · KO · R1
Austen LaneRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
Upcoming
Austen LaneUFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Parker PorterRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
Porter · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Junior TafaRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
W · KO · R1
Braxton SmithRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
L · KO · R1
Justin TafaRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
L · Sub · R1
Jailton AlmeidaRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Alan BaudotRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02