UFC 15: Collision Course
Bay St. Louis, USA
17 Oct 1997
Heavyweight
VS
91%
Cason
9%
Dorr
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:43
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cason
Cason is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cason has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.
Striking split: Cason throws more volume but Dorr connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Cason
Dorr
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'1"
—
Age
—
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cason
Dorr
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.8
2.2
56.0
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
71
Momentum Score
0
Cason
Dorr
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
0.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
50%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
11Ground0
Cason
Dorr
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Cason
Dorr
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2 fights
Chin rating based on
1/3 fights
Cason
Dorr
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
0
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Cason
Dorr
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cason
Dorr
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
CasonDorr
Strike Zones
Cason
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedDorr
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cason targets the head (100% of attacks) — Dorr absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Dorr targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Cason absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cason
RND
Dorr
0/0R00/0
Cason · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Cason · Last 2
L · Sub · R1
Mark KerrRating 1.5Submission
UFC 15: Collision Course · 1997-10
W · KO · R1
Houston DorrRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 15: Collision Course · 1997-10
Dorr · Last 1
L · KO · R1
Dwayne CasonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 15: Collision Course · 1997-10