UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
Las Vegas, USA
7 Mar 2020
Featherweight
VS
55%
Chikadze
45%
Emmers
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Chikadze
This is a genuine toss-up — Chikadze at 55% vs Emmers at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Emmers has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Emmers has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Chikadze
Emmers
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
74"
Reach
74"
37
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Chikadze
Emmers
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.4
44.6
49.5
Performance Avg
45.6
38
Quality of Victory
39
75
Momentum Score
40
Chikadze
Emmers
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.0
40%
Strike Accuracy
53%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
27
1
Body
4
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance29
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Chikadze
Emmers
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Chikadze
Emmers
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
62
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/21 fights
Chin rating based on
9/30 fights
Chikadze
Emmers
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
40
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Chikadze
Emmers
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
40%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Chikadze
Emmers
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
ChikadzeEmmers
Strike Zones
Chikadze
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedEmmers
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Chikadze targets the head (69% of attacks) — Emmers absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Emmers targets the head (84% of attacks) — Chikadze absorbs 84% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Chikadze
RND
Emmers
0/0R00/0
Chikadze · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Emmers · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Chikadze · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Kevin VallejosRating 4.9KO/TKO
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Emmers · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Hyder AmilRating 5.6Decision
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