UFC 71: Liddell vs Jackson
Las Vegas, USA
26 May 2007
Light Heavyweight
VS
69%
Gouveia
31%
Marrero
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:06
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gouveia
Gouveia holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Marrero has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gouveia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Gouveia has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Gouveia's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gouveia
Marrero
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
73"
47
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gouveia
Marrero
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.0
9.3
56.2
Performance Avg
25.0
54
Quality of Victory
25
72
Momentum Score
22
Gouveia
Marrero
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
0.1
42%
Strike Accuracy
16%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
0
0
Body
0
7
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance1
3Clinch0
3Ground0
Gouveia
Marrero
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.3
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gouveia
Marrero
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
74
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/22 fights
Chin rating based on
4/22 fights
Gouveia
Marrero
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
22
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Gouveia
Marrero
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gouveia
Marrero
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
1.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
GouveiaMarrero
Strike Zones
Gouveia
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedMarrero
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gouveia targets the head (61% of attacks) — Marrero absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Marrero targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Gouveia absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gouveia
RND
Marrero
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Gouveia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Marrero · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Gouveia · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12
L · KO · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson · 2009-02
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldRating 5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale · 2008-12
W · Sub · R2
Ryan JensenRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09
L · KO · R2
Goran ReljicRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 84: Ill Will · 2008-05
Marrero · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann · 2009-04
L · Sub · R1
Wilson GouveiaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 71: Liddell vs Jackson · 2007-05
L · Sub · R1
Gabriel GonzagaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 66: Liddell vs Ortiz 2 · 2006-12
W · Dec · R3
Cheick KongoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 64: Unstoppable · 2006-10