UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
13 Oct 2012
Featherweight
VS
59%
Jason
41%
Sicilia
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:16
RJ
Rony Jason
14 – 7
5'7"73" reachOrthodox42 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 23
SS
Sam Sicilia
15 – 8
Striker3-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'8"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jason

This is a genuine toss-up — Jason at 59% vs Sicilia at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Jason has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.

Striking split: Sicilia throws more volume but Jason connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Sicilia has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Jason
Sicilia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
73"+
Reach
67"
42
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jason
Sicilia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.8
16.0
60.4
Performance Avg
43.7
67
Quality of Victory
45
72
Momentum Score
59
Jason
Sicilia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.2
45%
Strike Accuracy
40%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
18
8
Body
7
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
19Distance25
1Clinch0
8Ground0
Jason
Sicilia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jason
Sicilia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
16
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Jason
Sicilia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
59
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Jason
Sicilia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jason
Sicilia
Striking6.0 / 6.8Volume3.0 / 4.0Grappling2.6 / 1.0Wrestling1.8 / 0.7Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Jason
Strike Zones
Sicilia
Jason
Attacking
20HEAD8BODY0LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD7BODY0LEGS25 absorbed
Sicilia
Attacking
18HEAD7BODY0LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD8BODY0LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jason targets the head (71% of attacks) — Sicilia absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Sicilia targets the head (72% of attacks) — Jason absorbs 72% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jason
RND
Sicilia
0/0R00/0

Jason · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.2W5.0W2.0L5.0W5.5L5.5L5.5L2012-062013-062014-032016-082017-03
WinLossTrend

Sicilia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.2W2.8L5.5L5.0W2.8L4.5W2.8L5.0W4.5W3.3L2.9L5.5L2012-062013-112014-092015-112017-02
WinLossTrend

Jason · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jeremy KennedyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
Upcoming
Damon Jackson
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Robert PeraltaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · KO · R1
Steven SilerRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03

Sicilia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gavin TuckerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Sub · R2
Gabriel BenitezRating 2.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Dooho ChoiRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Yaotzin MezaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Akira CorassaniRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01

News & Media

Rony Jason · Sam Sicilia
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