UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2
Boston, USA
28 Aug 2010
Welterweight
VS
64%
Osipczak
36%
Soto
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
NO
Nick Osipczak
63
6'2"76" reachOrthodox41 yrs3-fight slidePressure Fighter
CFR 20
GS
Greg Soto
94
Well-Rounded39 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'11"
CFR 12

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Osipczak

Osipczak holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Soto has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Osipczak has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 27 points.

Soto has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Osipczak
Soto
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
76"+
Reach
73"
41
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Osipczak
Soto
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.1
11.5
47.2
Performance Avg
28.3
52
Quality of Victory
25
59
Momentum Score
40
Osipczak
Soto
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.5
52%
Strike Accuracy
70%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
24
0
Body
12
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground35
Osipczak
Soto
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Osipczak
Soto
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Strikes absorbed / min
5/9 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Osipczak
Soto
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
40
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · R3
Osipczak
Soto
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Osipczak
Soto
Striking5.8 / 0.7Volume0.8 / 8.7Grappling4.0 / 2.4Wrestling2.8 / 1.7Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure8.2 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Osipczak
Strike Zones
Soto
Osipczak
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD12BODY1LEGS37 absorbed
Soto
Attacking
24HEAD12BODY1LEGS37 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Soto targets the head (65% of attacks) — Osipczak absorbs 65% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Osipczak
RND
Soto
0/0R00/0

Osipczak · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.0W5.5W5.5L5.5L5.5L2009-062009-112010-042010-082010-11
WinLossTrend

Soto · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0105.5L4.5W1.5L2010-032010-082011-01
WinLossTrend

Osipczak · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Duane LudwigRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
L · Dec · R3
Greg SotoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
L · Dec · R3
Rick StoryRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · KO · R3
Matthew RiddleRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
W · Sub · R1
Frank LesterRating 5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale · 2009-06

Soto · Last 3

L · Sub · R1
Daniel RobertsRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
W · Dec · R3
Nick OsipczakRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
L · R3
Matthew RiddleRating 5.5
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03

News & Media

Nick Osipczak · Greg Soto
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