UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2
Belfast, United Kingdom
19 Nov 2016
Lightweight
VS
63%
Lee
37%
Mustafaev
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:31
KL
Kevin Lee
"The Motown Phenom"
18 – 8
5'9"77" reachOrthodox33 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 35
MM
Magomed Mustafaev
"The Sniper"
14 – 4
Striker37 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'8"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lee

Lee holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Mustafaev has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Mustafaev has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lee's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lee
Mustafaev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
77"+
Reach
71"
33+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lee
Mustafaev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.2
20.6
48.3
Performance Avg
53.5
42
Quality of Victory
49
53
Momentum Score
65
Lee
Mustafaev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.4
42%
Strike Accuracy
59%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
8
2
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance5
2Clinch2
8Ground3
Lee
Mustafaev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lee
Mustafaev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
13 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/26 fights
Chin rating based on
5/18 fights
Lee
Mustafaev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
65
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R4
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · R2
Lee
Mustafaev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
4
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lee
Mustafaev
Striking3.0 / 7.9Volume4.1 / 1.2Grappling3.8 / 0.0Wrestling2.6 / 0.0Submission3.6 / 0.0Pressure5.6 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
Lee
Strike Zones
Mustafaev
Lee
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD2BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Mustafaev
Attacking
8HEAD2BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lee targets the head (82% of attacks) — Mustafaev absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Mustafaev targets the head (80% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lee
RND
Mustafaev
0/0R00/0

Lee · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.6L4.5W6.0W5.2W5.2W5.8W3.3L5.0W5.5L3.6L5.0W4.2L6.4L3.1L2014-022015-122017-062019-112023-07
WinLossTrend

Mustafaev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.2W5.0W2.8L6.0W5.5L2015-062015-122016-112019-042020-02
WinLossTrend

Lee · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Rinat FakhretdinovRating 3.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R3
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · KO · R1
Gregor GillespieRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · Sub · R4
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 3.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

Mustafaev · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Brad RiddellRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
W · KO · R1
Rafael FizievRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
L · Sub · R2
Kevin LeeRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · KO · R1
Joe ProctorRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor · 2015-12
W · R2
Piotr HallmannRating 4.2
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06

News & Media

Kevin Lee · Magomed Mustafaev
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