UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi
Jaragua do Sul, Brazil
15 Feb 2014
Welterweight
VS
92%
Silva
8%
Sato
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:52
ES
Erick Silva
19 – 9
6'0"74" reachOrthodox41 yrs2-fight slidePressure Fighter
CFR 18
TS
Takenori Sato
19 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide40 yrsSouthpaw5'10"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Silva

Silva is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.

Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Silva's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sato has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Silva
Sato
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
74"
Reach
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Silva
Sato
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
1.6
51.3
Performance Avg
0.0
54
Quality of Victory
0
46
Momentum Score
0
Silva
Sato
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.2
57%
Strike Accuracy
33%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
0
4
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
2Clinch0
14Ground0
Silva
Sato
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
7.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silva
Sato
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/28 fights
Chin rating based on
2/30 fights
Silva
Sato
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Silva
Sato
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Silva
Sato
Striking3.8 / 0.0Volume0.9 / 0.0Grappling5.7 / 0.0Wrestling4.0 / 0.0Submission7.1 / 0.0Pressure8.4 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
7.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Silva
Strike Zones
Sato
Silva
Attacking
14HEAD4BODY0LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Sato
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD4BODY0LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (78% of attacks) — Sato absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Silva
RND
Sato
0/0R00/0

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.0L5.0W5.5L5.0W2.8L5.0W3.1L5.0W5.0W6.1L2.8L5.5W2.8L5.5L2011-082013-062014-122016-092017-12
WinLossTrend

Sato · QOF Timeline

Avg: 1.5
0101.5L1.5L2014-022014-09
WinLossTrend

Silva · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jordan MeinRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
L · KO · R2
Yancy MedeirosRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R3
Luan ChagasRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · KO · R2
Nordine TalebRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08

Sato · Last 2

L · KO · R1
Hyun Gyu LimRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09
L · KO · R1
Erick SilvaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02

News & Media

Erick Silva · Takenori Sato
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