UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida
Charlotte, USA
13 May 2023
Light Heavyweight
VS
69%
Ulberg
31%
Potieria
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:09
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ulberg
Ulberg holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Potieria has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ulberg has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Ulberg has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Potieria has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ulberg
Potieria
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
77"+
Reach
75"
35
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Ulberg
Potieria
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
73.9
32.5
68.2
Performance Avg
35.5
53
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
26
Ulberg
Potieria
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.5
2.6
58%
Strike Accuracy
50%
7.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
1
1
Body
0
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
5Distance5
0Clinch0
8Ground0
Ulberg
Potieria
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
1.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ulberg
Potieria
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/16 fights
Chin rating based on
8/28 fights
Ulberg
Potieria
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
26
10-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Ulberg
Potieria
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ulberg
Potieria
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
UlbergPotieria
Strike Zones
Ulberg
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedPotieria
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ulberg targets the head (85% of attacks) — Potieria absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Potieria targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Ulberg absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ulberg
RND
Potieria
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ulberg · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Potieria · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Ulberg · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Jiri ProchazkaRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Volkan OezdemirRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
Potieria · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Marco TulioRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Cesar AlmeidaRating 6.6Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Sub · R1
Michel PereiraRating 2.1Submission
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Robert BryczekRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Rodolfo BellatoRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12

