UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez
Las Vegas, USA
27 Apr 2024
Heavyweight
VS
22%
Lane
78%
Diniz
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:12
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Diniz
Diniz is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Diniz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Diniz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lane's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lane
Diniz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'4"
80"+
Reach
79"
38
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lane
Diniz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
51.5
21.7
Performance Avg
45.0
25
Quality of Victory
35
0
Momentum Score
74
Lane
Diniz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.1
49%
Strike Accuracy
60%
0.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
15
0
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance15
0Clinch4
0Ground0
Lane
Diniz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lane
Diniz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/21 fights
Chin rating based on
6/11 fights
Lane
Diniz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
74
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
W · Dec · R3
Lane
Diniz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lane
Diniz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
8.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
LaneDiniz
Strike Zones
Lane
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedDiniz
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lane targets the head (100% of attacks) — Diniz absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Diniz targets the head (79% of attacks) — Lane absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lane
RND
Diniz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lane · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Diniz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Lane · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Iwo BaraniewskiRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Vitor PetrinoRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R2
Mario PintoRating 4.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Robelis DespaigneRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Jhonata DinizRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
Diniz · Last 5
Upcoming
Jose MontanhaUFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Mario PintoRating 4.7KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Alvin HinesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · R2
Marcin TyburaRating 5.1UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Karl WilliamsRating 5Decision
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