★ Championship Bout · Interim Heavyweight
UFC 51: Super Saturday
Las Vegas, USA
5 Feb 2005
Interim Heavyweight
VS
70%
Arlovski
30%
Sylvia
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:47
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Arlovski
Arlovski is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sylvia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Sylvia throws more volume but Arlovski connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sylvia has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Arlovski
Sylvia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'8"
77"
Reach
+80"
47+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arlovski
Sylvia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
21.1
50.5
Performance Avg
63.7
47
Quality of Victory
60
94
Momentum Score
52
Arlovski
Sylvia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
43%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.9
9 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Arlovski
Sylvia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arlovski
Sylvia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
62
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
8
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
13/41 fights
Arlovski
Sylvia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
52
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Arlovski
Sylvia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
56%
9
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arlovski
Sylvia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.9
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
ArlovskiSylvia
Strike Zones
Arlovski
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedSylvia
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Sylvia absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Sylvia targets the head (50% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arlovski
RND
Sylvia
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Arlovski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Sylvia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Arlovski · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
Sylvia · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Antonio Rodrigo NogueiraRating 2.8Submission
UFC 81: Breaking Point · 2008-02
W · Dec · R3
Brandon VeraRating 4.5Decision
UFC 77: Hostile Territory · 2007-10
L · Dec · R5
Randy CoutureRating 5.5Decision
UFC 68: The Uprising · 2007-03
W · Dec · R5
Jeff MonsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 65: Bad Intentions · 2006-11
W · Dec · R5
Andrei ArlovskiRating 5.2Decision
UFC 61: Bitter Rivals · 2006-07