UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
New York City, USA
12 Nov 2022
Light Heavyweight
VS
70%
Ulberg
30%
Negumereanu
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:44
Carlos
Carlos Ulberg
"Black Jag"
15 – 1
6'4"77" reachOrthodox35 yrs10-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 74
NN
Nicolae Negumereanu
13 – 2
Well-Rounded31 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'0"
CFR 32

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ulberg

Ulberg is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Ulberg has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Ulberg has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Ulberg
Negumereanu
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'0"
77"
Reach
+78"
35
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ulberg
Negumereanu
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
73.9
31.6
68.2
Performance Avg
51.4
53
Quality of Victory
41
100
Momentum Score
78
Ulberg
Negumereanu
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.5
1.9
58%
Strike Accuracy
42%
7.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
0
2
Body
1
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance2
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Ulberg
Negumereanu
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
1.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ulberg
Negumereanu
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/16 fights
Chin rating based on
6/15 fights
Ulberg
Negumereanu
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
78
10-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Ulberg
Negumereanu
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ulberg
Negumereanu
Striking7.8 / 6.3Volume4.2 / 5.3Grappling1.5 / 1.2Wrestling1.1 / 0.8Submission1.0 / 0.0Pressure7.6 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Ulberg
Strike Zones
Negumereanu
Ulberg
Attacking
8HEAD2BODY4LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Negumereanu
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD2BODY4LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ulberg targets the head (57% of attacks) — Negumereanu absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Negumereanu targets the body (50% of attacks) — Ulberg absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ulberg
RND
Negumereanu
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Ulberg · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.0L4.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W6.1W5.9W5.3W5.1W6.0W6.7W2021-032022-112024-052025-092026-04
WinLossTrend

Negumereanu · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L4.5W5.0W5.8W5.2W3.4L2019-032021-062021-102022-032022-072022-11
WinLossTrend

Ulberg · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Jiri ProchazkaRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Volkan OezdemirRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

Negumereanu · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Carlos UlbergRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · KO · R2
Ihor PotieriaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
W · KO · R1
Ike VillanuevaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
Aleksa CamurRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06

News & Media

Carlos Ulberg · Nicolae Negumereanu
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