UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
San Diego, USA
1 Aug 2010
Lightweight
VS
41%
Elkins
59%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:41
Darren
Darren Elkins
"The Damage"
29 – 12
5'10"71" reachOrthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 45
Charles
Charles Oliveira
"Do Bronxs"
37 – 11
Pressure Fighter2-fight win streak36 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'10"
CFR 63

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Oliveira

This is a genuine toss-up — Elkins at 41% vs Oliveira at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Oliveira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Striking split: Elkins throws more volume but Oliveira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Elkins's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Oliveira has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Elkins
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
71"
Reach
+74"
42
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Elkins
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.7
63.3
46.3
Performance Avg
58.6
35
Quality of Victory
51
66
Momentum Score
100
Elkins
Oliveira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
38%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Elkins
Oliveira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.8
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Elkins
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/41 fights
Chin rating based on
37/48 fights
Elkins
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
Elkins
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
37%
84%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
17
12
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Elkins
Oliveira
Striking3.4 / 3.0Volume6.3 / 2.7Grappling2.8 / 5.8Wrestling1.9 / 4.1Submission1.6 / 6.8Pressure4.5 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.8
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.1
1.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.8
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
Elkins
Strike Zones
Oliveira
Elkins
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Oliveira
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Oliveira targets the head (67% of attacks) — Elkins absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Elkins
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0

Elkins · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W2.9L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W6.0L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W4.5W5.3W7.0L4.0L5.5L6.2L5.5W5.2W2.0L4.5W6.0L5.5W5.4W1.7L2010-032013-082017-072021-122025-04
WinLossTrend

Oliveira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W5.5W1.9L1.5L5.0W5.2W2.0L5.5L5.5W5.2W5.0W5.5W2.6L5.0W4.0L2.8L5.0W2.8L5.5W5.4W5.4W5.2W5.2W5.4W5.3W5.0W5.9W6.6W6.6W4.1L6.0W7.1L5.3W3.9L6.2W5.6W2010-082014-062018-062021-122026-03
WinLossTrend

Elkins · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R3
TJ BrownRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan PearceRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Tristan ConnellyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04

Oliveira · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ilia TopuriaRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Michael ChandlerRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Arman TsarukyanRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

News & Media

Darren Elkins · Charles Oliveira
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