METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux
Bangor, USA
16 Aug 2014
Light Heavyweight
VS
30%
Bader
70%
Preux
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Ryan BaderwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Ovince Saint Preux · UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Preux
→
Actual result
Bader wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Preux is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Bader's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Preux has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BaderPreux
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bader
Preux
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
+80"
43
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Bader
Preux
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.1
46.7
54.2
Performance Avg
50.2
40
Quality of Victory
48
100
Momentum Score
72
Bader
Preux
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
5.1
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
6.7
6.3
Style: Volume
3.2
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
5
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch4
0Ground0
Bader
Preux
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bader
Preux
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/28 fights
Chin rating based on
28/45 fights
Bader
Preux
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
72
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Bader
Preux
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
73%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
5
9
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bader
Preux
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
BaderPreux
Strike Zones
Bader
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedPreux
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Preux targets the head (83% of attacks) — Bader absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bader
RND
Preux
0/0R00/0
Bader · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Rogerio NogueiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · KO · R2
Ilir LatifiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Anthony JohnsonKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · Dec · R3
Rashad EvansDecision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Phil DavisDecision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
Preux · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
Kennedy NzechukwuDecision
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L · KO · R1
Philipe LinsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Mauricio RuaDecision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · KO · R2
Tanner BoserKO/TKO
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