UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux
Bangor, USA
16 Aug 2014
Light Heavyweight
VS
30%
Bader
70%
Preux
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Preux
Preux is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Preux has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Bader's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Preux has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Bader
Preux
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
+80"
42+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Bader
Preux
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.1
46.7
54.2
Performance Avg
50.2
40
Quality of Victory
48
100
Momentum Score
72
Bader
Preux
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
48%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
5 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
5
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch4
0Ground0
Bader
Preux
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.0
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bader
Preux
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/28 fights
Chin rating based on
28/45 fights
Bader
Preux
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
72
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Bader
Preux
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
73%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
5
9
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bader
Preux
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
BaderPreux
Strike Zones
Bader
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedPreux
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Preux targets the head (83% of attacks) — Bader absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bader
RND
Preux
0/0R00/0
Bader · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Preux · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Bader · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Rogerio NogueiraRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · KO · R2
Ilir LatifiRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Anthony JohnsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · Dec · R3
Rashad EvansRating 4.5Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Phil DavisRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
Preux · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannRating 1.9Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Philipe LinsRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Mauricio RuaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · KO · R2
Tanner BoserRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06