METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
Anaheim, USA
23 Feb 2013
Welterweight
VS
68%
McGee
32%
Neer
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Court McGeewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Josh Neer · UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McGee
→
Actual result
McGee wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
McGee holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Neer has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
McGee's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Neer has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
McGeeNeer
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
McGee
Neer
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
72"
41+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McGee
Neer
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.7
18.1
40.1
Performance Avg
39.5
36
Quality of Victory
39
50
Momentum Score
100
McGee
Neer
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
3.3
Style: Pressure
4.7
6.7
Style: Volume
3.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
5
3
Body
4
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance7
1Clinch3
17Ground0
McGee
Neer
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
4.8
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.4
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
3
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McGee
Neer
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
32
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/37 fights
Chin rating based on
15/52 fights
McGee
Neer
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
100
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · R2
McGee
Neer
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McGee
Neer
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.8
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
McGeeNeer
Strike Zones
McGee
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedNeer
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McGee targets the head (82% of attacks) — Neer absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Neer targets the head (50% of attacks) — McGee absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McGee
RND
Neer
0/0R00/0
McGee · Last 5
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