METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
East Rutherford, USA
5 May 2012
Lightweight
VS
45%
Diaz
55%
Miller
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:09
★ Official Result
Nate DiazwinsSubmissionR2 · 4:09
def. Jim Miller · UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miller
→
Actual result
Diaz wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Diaz at 45% vs Miller at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Diaz's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Miller has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DiazMiller
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Diaz
Miller
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'8"
76"+
Reach
71"
41+
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Diaz
Miller
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.3
43.5
53.4
Performance Avg
51.5
50
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
28
Diaz
Miller
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
3.4
/ 10
7.0
Style: Pressure
6.8
3.2
Style: Volume
3.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
5
3
Body
2
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
8Distance6
15Clinch3
0Ground0
Diaz
Miller
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
4.7
/ 10
3.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.3
6.3
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
10
Submission wins
14
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Diaz
Miller
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/35 fights
Chin rating based on
47/58 fights
Diaz
Miller
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
28
W · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Diaz
Miller
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
71%
2
KO / TKO Wins
6
10
Submission Wins
14
4
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Diaz
Miller
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
5.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.7
3.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
6.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
DiazMiller
Strike Zones
Diaz
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedMiller
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Diaz targets the head (70% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Miller targets the head (56% of attacks) — Diaz absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Diaz
RND
Miller
0/0R00/0
Diaz · Last 5
W · Sub · R4
Tony FergusonSubmission
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsDecision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · R3
Jorge MasvidalUFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisDecision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R5
Conor McGregorDecision
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
Miller · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonSubmission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperDecision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonSubmission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenDecision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01