UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
10 Oct 2020
Featherweight
VS
55%
Barboza
45%
Amirkhani
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Barboza
This is a genuine toss-up — Barboza at 55% vs Amirkhani at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Barboza has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Barboza's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Amirkhani has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Barboza
Amirkhani
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
72"
40
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Barboza
Amirkhani
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.9
36.2
46.3
Performance Avg
47.6
40
Quality of Victory
46
60
Momentum Score
56
Barboza
Amirkhani
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.5
46%
Strike Accuracy
46%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
9 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
5
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Barboza
Amirkhani
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.3
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barboza
Amirkhani
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
16
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/38 fights
Chin rating based on
14/26 fights
Barboza
Amirkhani
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
56
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Barboza
Amirkhani
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
71%
9
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
4
9
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barboza
Amirkhani
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.7
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
BarbozaAmirkhani
Strike Zones
Barboza
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedAmirkhani
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barboza targets the body (71% of attacks) — Amirkhani absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Amirkhani targets the head (75% of attacks) — Barboza absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barboza
RND
Amirkhani
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Barboza · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Amirkhani · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Barboza · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jalin TurnerRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseRating 6.5Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Sodiq YusuffRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · KO · R1
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
Amirkhani · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jack ShoreRating 3.5Submission
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Jonathan PearceRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
W · Sub · R1
Mike GrundyRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Lerone MurphyRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Kamuela KirkRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
