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UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
10 Oct 2020
Featherweight
VS
55%
Barboza
45%
Amirkhani
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 Β· 5:00
Edson
Edson Barboza
"Junior"
24 – 14
5'11"75" reachOrthodox40 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 45
MA
Makwan Amirkhani
"Mr. Finland"
17 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsSouthpaw72" reach5'10"
CFR 36
β˜… Official Result
Edson BarbozawinsDecisionR3 Β· 5:00
def. Makwan Amirkhani Β· UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Barboza
β†’
Actual result
Barboza wins
Decision Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Barboza at 55% vs Amirkhani at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Barboza has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Barboza's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Amirkhani has a chin rating of 16 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BarbozaAmirkhani
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Barboza
Amirkhani
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
72"
40
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Barboza
Amirkhani
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.9
36.2
46.3
Performance Avg
47.6
40
Quality of Victory
46
60
Momentum Score
56
Barboza
Amirkhani
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.3
0.5
46%
Strike Accuracy
46%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
9 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
5
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Barboza
Amirkhani
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.3
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barboza
Amirkhani
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
16
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
32/38 fights
Chin rating based on
14/26 fights
Barboza
Amirkhani
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
60
56
3-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· KO Β· R1
Last 5
L Β· Sub Β· R2
L Β· KO Β· R2
W Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Barboza
Amirkhani
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
71%
9
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
4
9
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Barboza
Amirkhani
Striking6.1 / 2.4Volume5.1 / 3.3Grappling1.2 / 5.3Wrestling0.8 / 3.7Submission0.0 / 5.7Pressure5.2 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.7
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Barboza
Strike Zones
Amirkhani
Barboza
Attacking
2HEAD5BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Amirkhani
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD5BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Barboza targets the body (71% of attacks) β€” Amirkhani absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Amirkhani targets the head (75% of attacks) β€” Barboza absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Barboza
RND
Amirkhani
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Barboza Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W1.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W1.5L5.0W5.2W5.6L4.5W3.3L4.5W4.5W6.2W5.5L5.5L6.4W3.1L5.5L6.2L4.6W5.5W3.7L6.5L6.2W5.3W7.0L6.5L2.7L2010-112014-042017-032021-052025-12
WinLossTrend

Amirkhani Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.0W4.5W6.9L4.5W5.2W4.0L5.0W6.0L5.5L4.3L5.0W3.2L3.5L2015-012018-052020-102022-072023-03
WinLossTrend

Barboza Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R1
Jalin TurnerRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 Β· 2025-12
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Drakkar KloseRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev Β· 2025-08
L Β· Dec Β· R5
Lerone MurphyRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy Β· 2024-05
W Β· Dec Β· R5
Sodiq YusuffRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza Β· 2023-10
W Β· KO Β· R1
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen Β· 2023-04

Amirkhani Β· Last 5

L Β· Sub Β· R2
Jack ShoreRating 3.5
Submission
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 Β· 2023-03
L Β· KO Β· R2
Jonathan PearceRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall Β· 2022-07
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Mike GrundyRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall Β· 2022-03
L Β· KO Β· R2
Lerone MurphyRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira Β· 2021-10
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Kamuela KirkRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai Β· 2021-06

News & Media

Edson Barboza Β· Makwan Amirkhani
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