UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz
Fairfax, USA
11 Jan 2010
Middleweight
VS
58%
Harris
42%
Salter
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:24
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Harris
This is a genuine toss-up — Harris at 58% vs Salter at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Harris has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Salter has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Harris
Salter
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
77"+
Reach
74"
46
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Harris
Salter
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.0
18.9
62.0
Performance Avg
49.3
53
Quality of Victory
60
100
Momentum Score
43
Harris
Salter
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.3
29%
Strike Accuracy
29%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Harris
Salter
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Harris
Salter
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
66
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/28 fights
Chin rating based on
3/17 fights
Harris
Salter
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
43
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Harris
Salter
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Harris
Salter
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
9.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
1.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
HarrisSalter
Strike Zones
Harris
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedSalter
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Harris targets the head (100% of attacks) — Salter absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Harris
RND
Salter
0/0R00/0
Harris · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Salter · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Harris · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Maiquel FalcaoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
W · KO · R3
David BranchRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · KO · R1
Mario MirandaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
W · KO · R3
John SalterRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz · 2010-01
Salter · Last 3
L · Sub · R2
Dan MillerRating 2.8Submission
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R3
Gerald HarrisRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz · 2010-01
