METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos
Anaheim, USA
12 Nov 2011
Featherweight
VS
77%
Poirier
23%
Garza
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:32
★ Official Result
Dustin PoirierwinsSubmissionR2 · 1:32
def. Pablo Garza · UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Poirier
→
Actual result
Poirier wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Poirier is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Poirier's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PoirierGarza
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Poirier
Garza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+73"
37+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Poirier
Garza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.4
18.2
58.2
Performance Avg
47.8
50
Quality of Victory
46
100
Momentum Score
53
Poirier
Garza
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
6.6
Style: Pressure
6.2
4.0
Style: Volume
3.7
10 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Poirier
Garza
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
1.8
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
4
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Poirier
Garza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
74
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/40 fights
Chin rating based on
6/16 fights
Poirier
Garza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
53
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Poirier
Garza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
67%
10
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Poirier
Garza
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
PoirierGarza
Strike Zones
Poirier
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedGarza
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Poirier targets the head (100% of attacks) — Garza absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Poirier
RND
Garza
0/0R00/0
Poirier · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Max HollowayDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Sub · R5
Islam MakhachevSubmission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Benoit Saint DenisKO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · KO · R2
Justin GaethjeKO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Sub · R3
Michael ChandlerSubmission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
Garza · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Diego BrandaoSubmission
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04
W · Dec · R3
Mark HominickDecision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezDecision
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
L · Sub · R2
Dustin PoirierSubmission
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos · 2011-11
W · Sub · R1
Yves JabouinSubmission
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04