UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
Las Vegas, USA
14 Mar 2026
Light Heavyweight
VS
42%
Cutelaba
58%
Sy
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:24
Ion
Ion Cutelaba
"The Hulk"
20 – 11
6'1"75" reachSouthpaw32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 41
Oumar
Oumar Sy
12 – 2
Well-Rounded30 yrsOrthodox83" reach6'4"
CFR 56

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sy

This is a genuine toss-up — Cutelaba at 42% vs Sy at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Cutelaba has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cutelaba's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cutelaba
Sy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+83"
32
Age
+30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Cutelaba
Sy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.5
55.8
47.1
Performance Avg
51.8
47
Quality of Victory
46
26
Momentum Score
56
Cutelaba
Sy
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.6
45%
Strike Accuracy
45%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
4
Body
0
6
Leg
4
RangeRange
10Distance5
1Clinch0
3Ground0
Cutelaba
Sy
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cutelaba
Sy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
86
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/31 fights
Chin rating based on
5/14 fights
Cutelaba
Sy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
56
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Cutelaba
Sy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
67%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cutelaba
Sy
Striking5.4 / 4.5Volume3.6 / 3.9Grappling2.6 / 3.5Wrestling1.8 / 2.4Submission2.2 / 3.3Pressure6.1 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
Cutelaba
Strike Zones
Sy
Cutelaba
Attacking
4HEAD4BODY6LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY4LEGS5 absorbed
Sy
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY4LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD4BODY6LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cutelaba targets the legs (43% of attacks) — Sy absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Sy targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Cutelaba absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cutelaba
RND
Sy
0/0R00/0

Cutelaba · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.0L4.5W6.5L5.0W5.0W3.1L5.9W3.0L3.0L4.5W1.9L2.3L4.0L5.6W6.2L4.5W5.9W6.3L6.0W2016-062019-042022-052024-092026-03
WinLossTrend

Sy · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.7W5.1W6.4L5.2W1.8L2024-052024-092025-062025-092026-03
WinLossTrend

Cutelaba · Last 5

Upcoming
Navajo Stirling
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Sub · R1
Oumar SyRating 6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Modestas BukauskasRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Ibo AslanRating 5.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Ivan ErslanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09

Sy · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Ion CutelabaRating 1.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Brendson RibeiroRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Da Woon JungRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · Sub · R1
Tuco TokkosRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05

News & Media

Ion Cutelaba · Oumar Sy
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