METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
Las Vegas, USA
14 Mar 2026
Light Heavyweight
VS
46%
Cutelaba
54%
Sy
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:24
Ion
Ion Cutelaba
"The Hulk"
2011
6'1"75" reachSouthpaw32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 40
Oumar
Oumar Sy
122
Well-Rounded2-fight slide30 yrsOrthodox83" reach6'4"
CFR 47
★ Official Result
Ion CutelabawinsSubmissionR1 · 4:24
def. Oumar Sy · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sy
Actual result
Cutelaba wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Cutelaba at 46% vs Sy at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Cutelaba's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sy has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
CutelabaSy
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Cutelaba
Sy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+83"
32
Age
+30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Cutelaba
Sy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.0
47.2
46.2
Performance Avg
47.8
47
Quality of Victory
46
26
Momentum Score
33
Cutelaba
Sy
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
6.2
3.6
Style: Volume
3.7
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
4
Body
0
6
Leg
4
RangeRange
10Distance5
1Clinch0
3Ground0
Cutelaba
Sy
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cutelaba
Sy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
64
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
21/31 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
Cutelaba
Sy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
33
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Cutelaba
Sy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
67%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cutelaba
Sy
Striking5.3 / 4.3Volume3.6 / 3.7Grappling2.6 / 3.5Wrestling1.8 / 2.4Submission2.2 / 3.3Pressure6.0 / 6.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Cutelaba
Strike Zones
Sy
Cutelaba
Attacking
4HEAD4BODY6LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY4LEGS5 absorbed
Sy
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY4LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD4BODY6LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cutelaba targets the legs (43% of attacks) — Sy absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Sy targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Cutelaba absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cutelaba
RND
Sy
0/0R00/0

Cutelaba · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Navajo Stirling
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Sub · R1
Oumar Sy
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Modestas Bukauskas
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Ibo Aslan
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Ivan Erslan
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09

Sy · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Modestas Bukauskas
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
L · Sub · R1
Ion Cutelaba
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Brendson Ribeiro
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo Menifield
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Da Woon Jung
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09

News & Media

Ion Cutelaba · Oumar Sy
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