UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
Santiago, Chile
19 May 2018
Bantamweight
VS
34%
Rivas
66%
Cannetti
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cannetti
Cannetti holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Rivas has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cannetti has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Cannetti has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Rivas
Cannetti
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
69"+
Reach
68"
34+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Rivas
Cannetti
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
34.3
44.0
Performance Avg
40.6
40
Quality of Victory
41
57
Momentum Score
68
Rivas
Cannetti
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.5
41%
Strike Accuracy
50%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
2
5
Body
1
2
Leg
5
RangeRange
6Distance6
10Clinch2
0Ground0
Rivas
Cannetti
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rivas
Cannetti
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
28
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
4
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/12 fights
Chin rating based on
10/18 fights
Rivas
Cannetti
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
57
68
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Rivas
Cannetti
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rivas
Cannetti
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
RivasCannetti
Strike Zones
Rivas
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedCannetti
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rivas targets the head (56% of attacks) — Cannetti absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Cannetti targets the legs (63% of attacks) — Rivas absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rivas
RND
Cannetti
0/0R00/0
Rivas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Cannetti · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Rivas · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Guido CannettiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Jose QuinonezRating 5.5Decision
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W · KO · R2
Noad LahatRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux · 2014-11
Cannetti · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Mario BautistaRating 2.6Submission
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W · Sub · R1
Randy CostaRating 5Submission
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W · KO · R1
Kris MoutinhoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · Dec · R3
Mana MartinezRating 5.5Decision
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L · KO · R1
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