METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
13 Oct 2012
Heavyweight
VS
58%
Nogueira
42%
Herman
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:31
AR
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Antonio Rodrigo NogueirawinsSubmissionR2 · 4:31
def. Dave Herman · UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nogueira
→
Actual result
Nogueira wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Nogueira at 58% vs Herman at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Nogueira's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Herman has a chin rating of 22 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NogueiraHerman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nogueira
Herman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
77"
Reach
77"
50
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nogueira
Herman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
14.2
49.3
Performance Avg
41.0
52
Quality of Victory
55
91
Momentum Score
20
Nogueira
Herman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
7.6
4.1
Style: Volume
0.4
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance0
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Nogueira
Herman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nogueira
Herman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
22
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/44 fights
Chin rating based on
5/28 fights
Nogueira
Herman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
20
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Nogueira
Herman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nogueira
Herman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
NogueiraHerman
Strike Zones
Nogueira
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedHerman
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nogueira targets the head (100% of attacks) — Herman absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nogueira
RND
Herman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Nogueira · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Stefan StruveDecision
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
L · KO · R1
Roy NelsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04
L · Sub · R2
Fabricio WerdumSubmission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
W · Sub · R2
Dave HermanSubmission
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · Sub · R1
Frank MirSubmission
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
Herman · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Gabriel GonzagaKO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
L · Sub · R2
Antonio Rodrigo NogueiraSubmission
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Roy NelsonKO/TKO
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
L · KO · R2
Stefan StruveKO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02
W · KO · R2
Jon Olav EinemoKO/TKO
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06