UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker
Las Vegas, USA
2 Oct 2021
Middleweight
VS
55%
Cirkunov
45%
Jotko
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MC
Misha Cirkunov
15 – 9
6'3"77" reachOrthodox39 yrs4-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 28
KJ
Krzysztof Jotko
24 – 6
Well-Rounded36 yrsSouthpaw77" reach6'1"
CFR 23

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cirkunov

This is a genuine toss-up — Cirkunov at 55% vs Jotko at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Cirkunov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Cirkunov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cirkunov's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Jotko has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cirkunov
Jotko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
77"
Reach
77"
39
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cirkunov
Jotko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.3
22.7
50.1
Performance Avg
42.8
53
Quality of Victory
28
59
Momentum Score
60
Cirkunov
Jotko
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
0.9
54%
Strike Accuracy
38%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
12
3
Body
2
8
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance13
0Clinch3
7Ground0
Cirkunov
Jotko
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.7
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
6.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
4.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cirkunov
Jotko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
28
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/24 fights
Chin rating based on
17/30 fights
Cirkunov
Jotko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
60
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Cirkunov
Jotko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
9%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cirkunov
Jotko
Striking2.6 / 2.2Volume0.9 / 8.6Grappling6.7 / 2.2Wrestling4.7 / 1.5Submission8.3 / 0.0Pressure8.4 / 2.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
6.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
4.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
8.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
Cirkunov
Strike Zones
Jotko
Cirkunov
Attacking
3HEAD3BODY8LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD2BODY2LEGS16 absorbed
Jotko
Attacking
12HEAD2BODY2LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD3BODY8LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cirkunov targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Jotko absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Jotko targets the head (75% of attacks) — Cirkunov absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cirkunov
RND
Jotko
0/0R00/0

Cirkunov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.0W5.2W5.8W6.2W2.3L1.9L5.0W2.3L6.5W1.9L5.5L2.8L2.4L2015-082017-052019-092022-10
WinLossTrend

Jotko · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L2.8L4.0L4.5W4.5W5.3W6.6L4.5W5.6W2.8L2013-122016-062019-042022-042022-10
WinLossTrend

Cirkunov · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 2.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · Sub · R2
Wellington TurmanRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · KO · R1
Ryan SpannRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
W · Sub · R1
Jimmy CruteRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09

Jotko · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Brendan AllenRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Gerald MeerschaertRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
W · Dec · R3
Misha CirkunovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
W · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05

News & Media

Misha Cirkunov · Krzysztof Jotko
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