UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
Atlantic City, USA
21 Apr 2018
Lightweight
VS
56%
Barboza
44%
Lee
Win Probability
Edson
Edson Barboza
"Junior"
24 – 14
5'11"75" reachOrthodox40 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 45
KL
Kevin Lee
"The Motown Phenom"
18 – 8
Well-Rounded3-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox77" reach5'9"
CFR 35

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Barboza

This is a genuine toss-up — Barboza at 56% vs Lee at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Lee throws more volume but Barboza connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Barboza's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lee has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Barboza
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
75"
Reach
+77"
40
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barboza
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.9
35.2
46.3
Performance Avg
48.3
40
Quality of Victory
42
60
Momentum Score
53
Barboza
Lee
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.4
46%
Strike Accuracy
42%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
9 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
14
7
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance14
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Barboza
Lee
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barboza
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
24
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
13 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/38 fights
Chin rating based on
19/26 fights
Barboza
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
53
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R4
Barboza
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
55%
9
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
4
9
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Barboza
Lee
Striking6.1 / 3.0Volume5.1 / 4.1Grappling1.2 / 3.8Wrestling0.8 / 2.6Submission0.0 / 3.6Pressure5.2 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.6
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
Barboza
Strike Zones
Lee
Barboza
Attacking
8HEAD7BODY1LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD0BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Lee
Attacking
14HEAD0BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD7BODY1LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Barboza targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the head (100% of attacks) — Barboza absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Barboza
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0

Barboza · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W1.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W1.5L5.0W5.2W5.6L4.5W3.3L4.5W4.5W6.2W5.5L5.5L6.4W3.1L5.5L6.2L4.6W5.5W3.7L6.5L6.2W5.3W7.0L6.5L2.7L2010-112014-042017-032021-052025-12
WinLossTrend

Lee · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.6L4.5W6.0W5.2W5.2W5.8W3.3L5.0W5.5L3.6L5.0W4.2L6.4L3.1L2014-022015-122017-062019-112023-07
WinLossTrend

Barboza · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Jalin TurnerRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Sodiq YusuffRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · KO · R1
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04

Lee · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Rinat FakhretdinovRating 3.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R3
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · KO · R1
Gregor GillespieRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · Sub · R4
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 3.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

News & Media

Edson Barboza · Kevin Lee
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