UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
10 Oct 2020
Flyweight
VS
48%
Silva
52%
Ulanbekov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ulanbekov
This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 48% vs Ulanbekov at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Striking split: Silva throws more volume but Ulanbekov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Silva's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Silva
Ulanbekov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'7"
65"
Reach
+70"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Silva
Ulanbekov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.5
56.3
51.7
Performance Avg
50.3
53
Quality of Victory
34
39
Momentum Score
80
Silva
Ulanbekov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
49%
Strike Accuracy
54%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
19
8
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance20
5Clinch1
0Ground0
Silva
Ulanbekov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Silva
Ulanbekov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
86
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
8/20 fights
Silva
Ulanbekov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
80
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Silva
Ulanbekov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Ulanbekov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
SilvaUlanbekov
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedUlanbekov
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (53% of attacks) — Ulanbekov absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Ulanbekov targets the head (90% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Ulanbekov
0/0R00/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Ulanbekov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 5
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