UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira
Las Vegas, USA
7 Feb 2026
Flyweight
VS
49%
Albazi
51%
Horiguchi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Horiguchi
This is a genuine toss-up — Albazi at 49% vs Horiguchi at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Horiguchi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Albazi
Horiguchi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
68"+
Reach
63"
32+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Albazi
Horiguchi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.9
64.0
53.5
Performance Avg
56.7
42
Quality of Victory
34
82
Momentum Score
100
Albazi
Horiguchi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.4
38%
Strike Accuracy
49%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
25
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance24
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Albazi
Horiguchi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.2
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Albazi
Horiguchi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/20 fights
Chin rating based on
11/41 fights
Albazi
Horiguchi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Albazi
Horiguchi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Albazi
Horiguchi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
AlbaziHoriguchi
Strike Zones
Albazi
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedHoriguchi
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Albazi targets the head (80% of attacks) — Horiguchi absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Horiguchi targets the head (100% of attacks) — Albazi absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Albazi
RND
Horiguchi
0/0R00/0
Albazi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Horiguchi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Albazi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R5
Brandon MorenoRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Dec · R5
Kai Kara-FranceRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · KO · R3
Alessandro CostaRating 6.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
W · Sub · R1
Francisco FigueiredoRating 5Submission
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
Horiguchi · Last 5
Upcoming
Manel KapeUFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Amir AlbaziRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Sub · R3
Tagir UlanbekovRating 6.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Ali BagautinovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Neil SeeryRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05

