UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov
Albuquerque, USA
7 Jun 2014
Flyweight
VS
55%
Dodson
45%
Moraga
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Dodson
This is a genuine toss-up — Dodson at 55% vs Moraga at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Dodson throws more volume but Moraga connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Moraga has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Dodson
Moraga
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'6"
66"
Reach
66"
41+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dodson
Moraga
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.0
18.3
50.7
Performance Avg
47.9
45
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
64
Dodson
Moraga
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.0
41%
Strike Accuracy
47%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
2
3
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance4
0Clinch1
4Ground0
Dodson
Moraga
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dodson
Moraga
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
58
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/34 fights
Chin rating based on
14/26 fights
Dodson
Moraga
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
64
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Dodson
Moraga
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
63%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dodson
Moraga
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
DodsonMoraga
Strike Zones
Dodson
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedMoraga
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dodson targets the head (64% of attacks) — Moraga absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Moraga targets the head (40% of attacks) — Dodson absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dodson
RND
Moraga
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Dodson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Moraga · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Dodson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8Decision
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W · KO · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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Moraga · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.8KO/TKO
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