UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov
Albuquerque, USA
7 Jun 2014
Flyweight
VS
55%
Dodson
45%
Moraga
Win Probability
JD
John Dodson
"The Magician"
2212
5'3"66" reachOrthodox41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 22
JM
John Moraga
197
Well-Rounded42 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'6"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Dodson

This is a genuine toss-up — Dodson at 55% vs Moraga at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Dodson throws more volume but Moraga connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Moraga has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Dodson
Moraga
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'6"
66"
Reach
66"
41+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dodson
Moraga
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.0
18.3
50.7
Performance Avg
47.9
45
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
64
Dodson
Moraga
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.0
41%
Strike Accuracy
47%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
2
3
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance4
0Clinch1
4Ground0
Dodson
Moraga
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dodson
Moraga
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
58
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
17/34 fights
Chin rating based on
14/26 fights
Dodson
Moraga
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
64
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Dodson
Moraga
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
63%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dodson
Moraga
Striking6.2 / 3.6Volume4.4 / 4.1Grappling1.0 / 3.9Wrestling0.7 / 2.7Submission0.0 / 3.8Pressure5.3 / 6.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
Dodson
Strike Zones
Moraga
Dodson
Attacking
9HEAD3BODY2LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Moraga
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD3BODY2LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dodson targets the head (64% of attacks) — Moraga absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Moraga targets the head (40% of attacks) — Dodson absorbs 40% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dodson
RND
Moraga
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Dodson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.1W4.6W5.2W5.5L5.0W4.2W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L7.0L6.3W6.8L2011-122014-062017-042020-022020-08
WinLossTrend

Moraga · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.5W4.0L4.5W4.8L5.2W5.5W5.5L5.7L5.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W3.8L2012-082014-062016-072018-042018-08
WinLossTrend

Dodson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
W · KO · R3
Nathaniel WoodRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Petr YanRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Jimmie RiveraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5
Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03

Moraga · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R1
Magomed BibulatovRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Ashkan MokhtarianRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01

News & Media

John Dodson · John Moraga
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