METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
Las Vegas, USA
20 Aug 2016
Bantamweight
VS
76%
Garbrandt
24%
Mizugaki
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:48
★ Official Result
Cody GarbrandtwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:48
def. Takeya Mizugaki · UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Garbrandt
→
Actual result
Garbrandt wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Garbrandt is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Garbrandt has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Risk flags
Garbrandt's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mizugaki has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GarbrandtMizugaki
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Garbrandt
Mizugaki
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
65"
Reach
+69"
35+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Garbrandt
Mizugaki
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.3
16.4
50.3
Performance Avg
40.1
47
Quality of Victory
29
84
Momentum Score
98
Garbrandt
Mizugaki
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.1
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
5.9
Style: Pressure
2.6
4.3
Style: Volume
8.1
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
3
0
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance4
1Clinch0
5Ground0
Garbrandt
Mizugaki
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Garbrandt
Mizugaki
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
18
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/22 fights
Chin rating based on
14/32 fights
Garbrandt
Mizugaki
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
98
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
Garbrandt
Mizugaki
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
13%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Garbrandt
Mizugaki
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
GarbrandtMizugaki
Strike Zones
Garbrandt
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedMizugaki
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Garbrandt targets the head (83% of attacks) — Mizugaki absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Mizugaki targets the head (75% of attacks) — Garbrandt absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Garbrandt
RND
Mizugaki
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Garbrandt · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Adrian YanezKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Xiao LongDecision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Sub · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoSubmission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Brian KelleherKO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
Mizugaki · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Eddie WinelandKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtKO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
George RoopDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
L · Sub · R3
Aljamain SterlingSubmission
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
L · KO · R1
Dominick CruzKO/TKO
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09