UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
Edmonton, Canada
27 Jul 2019
Middleweight
VS
61%
Barriault
39%
Jotko
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Barriault
Barriault holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Jotko has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Barriault has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Barriault has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Barriault's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jotko has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Barriault
Jotko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
74"
Reach
+77"
36
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Barriault
Jotko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.6
22.7
41.9
Performance Avg
42.8
45
Quality of Victory
28
13
Momentum Score
60
Barriault
Jotko
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
0.9
50%
Strike Accuracy
38%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
9
5
Body
4
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance9
11Clinch5
0Ground0
Barriault
Jotko
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barriault
Jotko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
28
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/28 fights
Chin rating based on
17/30 fights
Barriault
Jotko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
60
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Barriault
Jotko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
9%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barriault
Jotko
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
BarriaultJotko
Strike Zones
Barriault
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedJotko
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barriault targets the head (56% of attacks) — Jotko absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Jotko targets the head (64% of attacks) — Barriault absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barriault
RND
Jotko
0/0R00/0
Barriault · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Jotko · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Barriault · Last 5
Upcoming
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