METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
Toronto, Canada
10 Dec 2011
Welterweight
VS
53%
Patrick
47%
Ebersole
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Brian EbersolewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Claude Patrick · UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Patrick
→
Actual result
Ebersole wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Patrick at 53% vs Ebersole at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PatrickEbersole
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Patrick
Ebersole
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
75"+
Reach
73"
46
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Patrick
Ebersole
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.8
17.4
49.9
Performance Avg
44.2
33
Quality of Victory
32
79
Momentum Score
75
Patrick
Ebersole
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
4.6
Style: Pressure
3.3
6.8
Style: Volume
7.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
6
1
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance1
3Clinch4
0Ground4
Patrick
Ebersole
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Patrick
Ebersole
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/16 fights
Chin rating based on
8/69 fights
Patrick
Ebersole
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
75
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Patrick
Ebersole
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
20%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Patrick
Ebersole
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
PatrickEbersole
Strike Zones
Patrick
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedEbersole
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Patrick targets the head (75% of attacks) — Ebersole absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Ebersole targets the head (67% of attacks) — Patrick absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Patrick
RND
Ebersole
0/0R00/0
Patrick · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleDecision
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
W · Dec · R3
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UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · Dec · R3
James WilksDecision
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10
W · Sub · R2
Ricardo FunchSubmission
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
Ebersole · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Omari AkhmedovKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
Rick StoryDecision
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
L · Dec · R3
James HeadDecision
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao · 2012-07
W · Dec · R3
TJ WaldburgerDecision
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