UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon
Broomfield, USA
2 Apr 2008
Light Heavyweight
VS
53%
Hamill
47%
Boetsch
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:25
MH
Matt Hamill
"The Hammer"
12 – 8
6'1"76" reachOrthodox49 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 19
TB
Tim Boetsch
"The Barbarian"
21 – 13
Striker2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hamill

This is a genuine toss-up — Hamill at 53% vs Boetsch at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Hamill throws more volume but Boetsch connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Hamill's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Boetsch has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Hamill
Boetsch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
74"
49
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hamill
Boetsch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
16.6
51.9
Performance Avg
46.0
42
Quality of Victory
43
63
Momentum Score
69
Hamill
Boetsch
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.3
47%
Strike Accuracy
57%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
5 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch0
13Ground0
Hamill
Boetsch
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hamill
Boetsch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
24/34 fights
Hamill
Boetsch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
69
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Hamill
Boetsch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
58%
5
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hamill
Boetsch
Striking6.3 / 6.8Volume4.5 / 4.3Grappling1.0 / 1.0Wrestling0.7 / 0.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.5 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
Hamill
Strike Zones
Boetsch
Hamill
Attacking
16HEAD0BODY0LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY2LEGS4 absorbed
Boetsch
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY2LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD0BODY0LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hamill targets the head (100% of attacks) — Boetsch absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Boetsch targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hamill absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hamill
RND
Boetsch
0/0R00/0

Hamill · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W4.5W5.0W5.5L5.2W4.0L5.2W5.0W5.8W4.5W4.5W5.5L2.8L4.5W5.5L2006-062008-042009-122011-082013-10
WinLossTrend

Boetsch · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W2.8L5.0W5.5L4.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W5.5W4.5W4.0L5.5L4.5W1.5L5.3W2.8L1.5L2.9L5.2W5.0W1.5L5.2W1.5L5.5L2008-022011-052013-102016-072019-03
WinLossTrend

Hamill · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Thiago SilvaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Roger HollettRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
L · KO · R2
Alexander GustafssonRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
W · Dec · R3
Tito OrtizRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10

Boetsch · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R2
Johny HendricksRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · KO · R1
Rafael NatalRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11

News & Media

Matt Hamill · Tim Boetsch
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