UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
Atlantic City, USA
21 Apr 2018
Welterweight
VS
56%
Bahadurzada
44%
Chagas
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:40
SB
Siyar Bahadurzada
"The Great"
24 – 8
5'11"73" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 22
LC
Luan Chagas
"Tarzan"
15 – 3
Submission Hunter32 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Bahadurzada

This is a genuine toss-up — Bahadurzada at 56% vs Chagas at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Chagas has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Chagas has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Bahadurzada
Chagas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
73"
Reach
+75"
42
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bahadurzada
Chagas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.4
17.3
52.2
Performance Avg
43.0
54
Quality of Victory
50
78
Momentum Score
43
Bahadurzada
Chagas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.7
45%
Strike Accuracy
47%
8.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
5
9
Body
1
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
20Distance8
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Bahadurzada
Chagas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bahadurzada
Chagas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
66
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/32 fights
Chin rating based on
4/18 fights
Bahadurzada
Chagas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
43
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R3
Upcoming
Bahadurzada
Chagas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bahadurzada
Chagas
Striking8.5 / 0.7Volume1.0 / 0.7Grappling2.0 / 8.0Wrestling1.4 / 5.6Submission2.5 / 10.0Pressure8.5 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Bahadurzada
Strike Zones
Chagas
Bahadurzada
Attacking
10HEAD9BODY2LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY2LEGS8 absorbed
Chagas
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY2LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD9BODY2LEGS21 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bahadurzada targets the head (48% of attacks) — Chagas absorbs 48% of strikes there
🎯Chagas targets the head (63% of attacks) — Bahadurzada absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bahadurzada
RND
Chagas
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Bahadurzada · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.0W5.5L5.5L5.5W5.2W5.2W5.5L6.0L2012-042013-122017-092018-122019-09
WinLossTrend

Chagas · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0104.0L5.2W2.8L2016-092017-062018-04
WinLossTrend

Bahadurzada · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Curtis MillenderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R2
Luan ChagasRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · KO · R2
Rob WilkinsonRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · Sub · R3
Brandon ThatchRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03

Chagas · Last 4

L · KO · R2
Siyar BahadurzadaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · Sub · R2
Jim WallheadRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
L · Sub · R3
Erick SilvaRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
Upcoming
Sergio Moraes
Decision
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05

News & Media

Siyar Bahadurzada · Luan Chagas
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