METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
Seattle, USA
28 Mar 2026
Light Heavyweight
VS
74%
Stirling
26%
Lopes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:05
★ Official Result
Navajo StirlingwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:05
def. Bruno Lopes · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Stirling
→
Actual result
Stirling wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Stirling is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 47 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Stirling has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Lopes has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
StirlingLopes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Stirling
Lopes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
79"+
Reach
74"
28+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Stirling
Lopes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
71.1
24.5
64.5
Performance Avg
25.0
41
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
28
Stirling
Lopes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.0
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
0.8
6.0
Style: Volume
8.5
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
6
8
Body
3
8
Leg
3
RangeRange
22Distance11
1Clinch1
18Ground0
Stirling
Lopes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Stirling
Lopes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
34
Never stopped
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/9 fights
Chin rating based on
4/17 fights
Stirling
Lopes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
28
6-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Stirling
Lopes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stirling
Lopes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
StirlingLopes
Strike Zones
Stirling
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedLopes
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stirling targets the head (61% of attacks) — Lopes absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Lopes targets the head (50% of attacks) — Stirling absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stirling
RND
Lopes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Stirling · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Jan BlachowiczKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
W · KO · R2
Ion CutelabaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · KO · R2
Bruno LopesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Rodolfo BellatoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Ivan ErslanDecision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
Lopes · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Diyar NurgozhayKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08
L · KO · R2
Navajo StirlingKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Magomed GadzhiyasulovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01