UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
Seattle, USA
28 Mar 2026
Light Heavyweight
VS
69%
Stirling
31%
Lopes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:05
Navajo
Navajo Stirling
9 – 0
6'4"79" reachOrthodox28 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 66
Bruno
Bruno Lopes
"The Brazilian Cowboy"
14 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'2"
CFR 29

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Stirling

Stirling holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Lopes has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Stirling has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lopes has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Stirling
Lopes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
79"+
Reach
74"
28+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Stirling
Lopes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.7
29.2
59.5
Performance Avg
28.3
33
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
33
Stirling
Lopes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
1.1
56%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
6
8
Body
3
8
Leg
3
RangeRange
22Distance11
1Clinch1
18Ground0
Stirling
Lopes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Stirling
Lopes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
56
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/9 fights
Chin rating based on
3/17 fights
Stirling
Lopes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
33
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Stirling
Lopes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Stirling
Lopes
Striking4.5 / 0.7Volume8.0 / 8.7Grappling1.8 / 2.4Wrestling1.3 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
8.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Stirling
Strike Zones
Lopes
Stirling
Attacking
25HEAD8BODY8LEGS41 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD3BODY3LEGS12 absorbed
Lopes
Attacking
6HEAD3BODY3LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD8BODY8LEGS41 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Stirling targets the head (61% of attacks) — Lopes absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Lopes targets the head (50% of attacks) — Stirling absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Stirling
RND
Lopes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Stirling · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W4.5W6.2W5.2W2024-122025-052025-092026-03
WinLossTrend

Lopes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0104.7W2.9L4.3L2025-012025-052026-03
WinLossTrend

Stirling · Last 5

Upcoming
Ion Cutelaba
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · KO · R2
Bruno LopesRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Rodolfo BellatoRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Ivan ErslanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Tuco TokkosRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12

Lopes · Last 3

L · KO · R2
Navajo StirlingRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Magomed GadzhiyasulovRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01

News & Media

Navajo Stirling · Bruno Lopes
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